Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[NickyBGuarantee]

Lol the snow is gonna be like cement, gonna be hard to accumulate, those ratios suck !! View attachment 101127

Beautiful snow to watch fall though big fat juicy flakes ? and when it’s coming down hard it’s going to be a site to behold especially being our first snow of the year

 

[Flotown]

18z was actually better for us west folks

It was

man this setup really interests me with that comma head/deformation zone, shows up nicely on the euro, that’s what I’m banking on here and what many should watch, with a strengthening and formidable 1000/999mb mid latitude cyclone View attachment 100839View attachment 100840View attachment 100838View attachment 100841View attachment 100842

Lol the snow is gonna be like cement, gonna be hard to accumulate, those ratios suck

10 to 11 tonight, a two inch band in one hour from huntsville to birmingham

That gonna move through the shoals firsr?

 

[Pilotwx]

Well GFS is consistent in showing a snow hole here in Surry county, and along the foothills, NW flow is eating the moisture up, and pooling it up just to our east. These type of events can produce wild swings over small areas .

 

[HSVweather]

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

View attachment 101005

Let’s look at the trend in the last four GFS runs.

This is going to be a stinger for the upstate. Only two states sitting this one out; FL and....?

 

[TheBatman]

It was





That gonna move through the shoals firsr?

Yes.

 

[Oconeexman]

This is going to be a stinger for the upstate. Only two states sitting this one out; FL and....?

Yup...missing those old days of a cad where we would jackpot. ULL's rarely work for us, we need cold air in place.

 

[Stormlover]

GFS 9pm tonight

 

[TheBatman]

12z Canadian total.

 

[BullCityWx]

I'm just wondering due to the lack of Cold air to support snow in the Upstate, if those areas could see sleet? I'm speaking of North of 85. Below there I think has no chance at anything frozen.

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The problem in Greenville is you're too warm at the surface. There is no significant subzero layer to create sleet as well.

 

[Parker]

12z Canadian total. View attachment 101146

I am truly starting to wonder how much better this can trend for us. EVERY single run is slowly ticking higher and higher. Each HRRR seems to get a tad stronger and slower at the end. We truly may get a surprise. I mean these bright yellow colors turning to snow is going to make for some heavy snow. This could be the heaviest I have seen fall. I am all in for a surprise.

 

[Snownut]

The problem in Greenville is you're too warm at the surface. There is no significant subzero layer to create sleet as well.

I'm not in Greenville

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[TheBatman]

12z GEFS another increase.

 

[Snownut]

View attachment 101149
12z GEFS another increase.

If this were to verify then why does folks think It won't do anything in upstate? I understand no accumulation but this would definitely bring Snow Falling across upstate north of 85

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[Gary]

That little white dot circled in red... that's me lol

 

[JHS]

Yup...missing those old days of a cad where we would jackpot. ULL's rarely work for us, we need cold air in place.

The only time I can remember an ULL working out was in March 2009.

 

[Stormlover]

View attachment 101149
12z GEFS another increase.

Love it

 

[BullCityWx]

I'm not in Greenville

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Okay, the problem if you're not in Travelers Rest or on Sassafrass Mountain is the column isnt supportive of anything but rain. You're at 40/40 during the height.

 

[Oconeexman]

If this were to verify then why does folks think It won't do anything in upstate? I understand no accumulation but this would definitely bring Snow Falling across upstate north of 85

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I'm not saying it can't happen but no where in SC below 3000ft is there a sounding below freezing until the moisture is gone. I've pulled soundings from all over and just haven't seen it.

 

[Snownut]

I'm not saying it can't happen but no where in SC below 3000ft is there a sounding below freezing until the moisture is gone. I've pulled soundings from all over and just haven't seen it.

But yet the models keep showing the snow line down into the upstate as posted above

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