Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[Ward Cleaver]

I can’t imaging this verifying for the mountains. Rates will overcome ground temps.

 

[ajr]

View attachment 101007

I can’t imaging this verifying for the mountains. Rates will overcome ground temps.

They posted a WSW for the mountains — not sure why this graphic depicts differently

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

They posted a WSW for the mountains — not sure why this graphic depicts differently

 

[Ron Burgundy]

I’ve been watching this one from the shadows, these last few runs are going to make me have a heart attack.. I’m camping out tomorrow night at 2800 ft hopefully we will get a quicker changeover!

Congrats [checks notes] Shreveport? Returns are looking pretty healthy in LA and AR.

 

[Ward Cleaver]

I was hoping to sleep in another hour before church, but I’m anticipating the 12z HRRR.

 

[Weatherlover92]

View attachment 101005

Let’s look at the trend in the last four GFS runs.

We keep seeing trends like this in model guidance today, that WWA may need to be extended to a Carrollton to Atlanta to Gainesville line. EDIT: Kinda surprised there’s not at least a SWS out for those aforementioned areas.

 

[TheBatman]

 

[Arcc]

View attachment 101005

Let’s look at the trend in the last four GFS runs.

You know it’s legit when eastern NC and Atlanta gets the shaft. All is right with the world.

 

[TheBatman]

 

[Snownut]

If that low would just Track 200 miles south, a lot more people would be Happy

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[Ward Cleaver]

12z HRRR is rolling. Then I can go make some coffee.

BTW, I’m at nearly 1” of rain since 5:00 AM. Very much needed.

 

[Uncle Nasty]

09z RAP and 06z GFS are bonkers.

09z RAP
View attachment 101000

I can see this happening. Look at the very small hole just north of the Ga line around Chattanooga. It's a nothing hole with .06" around it. I can see that happening. I hope if the snow comes to fruition Chattanooga people can watch the snow from their window instead of their television.

N. Ga. seems to do MUCH better than Chattanooga on snow totals. It seems the temps are usually a few degrees cooler than Chatty or if Chatty does have the cold in place the moisture stays just to our south.

Note: this isn't a "Banter" post, just stating the facts. Everything has to line up perfect for our area to see significant snowfall.

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[Ward Cleaver]

I can see this happening. Look at the very small hole just north of the Ga line around Chattanooga. It's a nothing hole with .06" around it. I can see that happening. I hope if the snow comes to fruition Chattanooga people can watch the snow from their window instead of their television.

N. Ga. seems to do MUCH better than Chattanooga on snow totals. It seems the temps are usually a few degrees cooler than Chatty or if Chatty does have the cold in place the moisture stays just to our south.

That snow hole in Hamilton County has been showing up on several runs of several models for some reason. It’s weird. (I was born and raised in Chattanooga and live in NC now.)

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ULL on the hrrr looks a tick SW

 

[KyloG]

Radar already looks impressive…good luck to the ones in on this. ?

 

[DopplerWx]

Nice for AL

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Slightly further S/slightly less amped

 

[Snownut]

Slightly further S/slightly less amped View attachment 101018

Hopefully that's the Trend today and will bring lots more folks into play. It wouldn't take much with this thing

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[DopplerWx]

Wild!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

HRRR shows supercells over the CLT metro in the morning