Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[TheBatman]

Enough with the dumb post. Next one I see will get a timeout.

 

[WeatherNC]

Those are wind chill warnings, in the northern Plains, real feel -45F. Current. Surprised by the lack of 36hr lead products winter type in the SE/MA, mountains in particular.

 

[winterwx]

I’ve been watching this one from the shadows, these last few runs are going to make me have a heart attack.. I’m camping out tomorrow night at 2800 ft hopefully we will get a quicker changeover!

 

[WeatherNC]

I’ve been watching this one from the shadows, these last few runs are going to make me have a heart attack.. I’m camping out tomorrow night at 2800 ft hopefully we will get a quicker changeover!

Be safe! And arrive early

For those chasing, this is a monster dry slot ripping through the southern coastal plain, sloppy, convective in nature, mature, punch the mid level triple point by about 20-30 miles NW. it does happen overnight, I stand by 990 off the VA Capes.

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Tomorrow we are going to really see this thing slow down to the point where this becomes an event to remember for all of us.

It really is too bad this isn't tracking about 300 miles further South. That would put about eveyone 1-20 and North in the game.

 

[Avalanche]

Curious where that axis will be that gets the front end snow and stays through the deformation exiting.

 

[WeatherNC]

Curious where that axis will be that gets the front end snow and stays through the deformation exiting.

CLT to DOV, RIC in particular, snow level crashes pretty rapidly below 1000 feet, 2500 feet is solid through the mountains, and it goes to snow at the coast in NE NC, and north of there heavily.

 

[Avalanche]

CLT to DOV, RIC in particular, snow level crashes pretty rapidly below 1000 feet, 2500 feet is solid through the mountains, and it goes to snow at the coast in NE NC, and north of there heavily.

But in some of those locations it begins as rain, Id like to know who gets front end snow and remains throughout duration. Id think Roanoke area gets front end and gets the deformation. Sure it will be heavier on east, but you lose some to "crashing the column"

 

[JLL1973]

I’d be shocked if memphis didn’t at least issue a winter weather advisory in the early morning hours

 

[Storm5]

00z euro

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[ajr]

Thoughts on good chasing locations? Thinking about getting a place to stay for a few days around Sugar mountain

 

[TheBatman]

0z euro will make North Carolina happier.

 

[jjwxman]

0z euro will make North Carolina happier. View attachment 100997

Yes it does…. I live just south of I-85 in the Triad. We love to thread the needle on all these winter storms it seems like.


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[SimeonNC]

the 6z HRRR should run soon, curious to see what it does

 

[SimeonNC]

I stand corrected, it's running now and honestly through hour 15 I can't tell much of a difference between the 00z and the 06z. Other than more precip in South Carolina at hr 15.

 

[SimeonNC]

The low is further North compared to 00z, welp.

Edit: I stand corrected, at hour 20 on the 6z the low is further south compared to the same time at 0z. Sorry for the misinformation lol.

 

[SimeonNC]

Western/Middle TN and North MS and AL are getting clobbered with snow.

 

[SimeonNC]

More snow over North AL than the previous run and TN keeps getting clobbered.

 

[SimeonNC]

Yep, the HRRR is more amped and has more precip.

 

[SimeonNC]

The low seems to be moving slower too.