Can’t say these trends aren’t discouraging but at the end of the day the pattern as a whole is looking good later on for us to score something better than a paste bomb on warm ground so at least that’s something to look forward to
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Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
dry/slot baby! 
Ward Cleaver
Member
It was 11” the previous run. Haha! I’ll be floored if we get a slushy 1”.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Those trends for us in AL and GA keep getting better. I guess as it gets more amped the wrap around becomes more intense and the cold air can really get into the heavier precip and deform band.
Early logistics, NW of Richmond I 95/64 or Delmarva SR 90 north of Salisbury. Still about 12-18hrs to work it out.
I am not used to having good trends. Lol
While the rap looks a tad more amped, it actually looks like it’s digging more south this run in texas , let’s see what it does
SWVAwxfan
Member
24+ in my area. That's insane.
Snownut
Member
And I would think the more amped it is the More Cold air it would pull in, which only helps as it moves east.
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Ron Burgundy
Member
Looking a lot better up your way for sure. Still holding a little hope for the intown crowd but I think we’re going to be lucky to see a few flakes.
ULL is even stronger this run 
cyclogent
Member
Trending towards another DC mauler. This is like 2009-2010 winter all over again.
Huge increase on GFS ensembles. 
SnowNiner
Member
Still trying to figure out the totals for the balsam mountain ridge tops. Clown maps showing warning criteria but it looks really quick hitting by the time the Temps crash and no nw flow to speak of on Monday. Not sure it can get out of advisory criteria, but ill take whatever at this point.. Get the feeling this is a pattern change storm that we just need to get through for better things to come the next few weeks.
SWVAwxfan
Member
Some of those members show amounts that boggle the mind.
that H5 track this run is ugly but still 
Snownut
Member
I'm just wondering if the Models are having trouble with this Due to all the severe weather to the West. We may see them really pick up on things tomorrow after those storms move through.
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SimeonNC
Member
The RAP has the backside/deformation band last quite a while into the day on Monday and the winds are pretty high too. Going from a high in the 70s to wind and snow falling in Monday morning/early afternoon.
RAP is legacy material, Euro to come in more amped. Again. Hats off to the convective models, they did a solid job beyond 72hrs while the globals did waver in day 4-5.