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Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Not everyone...I'm getting the middle finger. These setups are normally a no go for extreme western peidmont. Hickory and points NE has a better shot with things reorganizing down that way. Marion will have a very limited window for snow. I'd be call some wet flakes a win. Good luck everyone down east!!! I'll get mine.Gonna end up about a county or more NW, congrats all I-85 and NW of there
The NAM is amazing for us
Nice run for AL/TN/MS so far
Looks improved for n ga
Good lord I have made a mess! What a run!
Can’t wait to see that 3k
We just keep trending baby.
Can’t wait to see that 3k
We just keep trending baby.
The trend over the last 4 runs…
Lol the nam used to be the model that sniffed out amplification/Nw trends first, now it’s the one playing catch up 
Snownut
Member
So Noone can answer my Question or explain what I ask above?
Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-A526U using Tapatalk
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Downsloping
I still believe even the 3km isn’t amped enough but it’s better then the 12km so far
Snownut
Member
But how can downsloping just wipe out Such a dynamic system?
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Winds coming off the terrain compressionally warm and dry the atmosphere over the upstate of SC into the SW Piedmont of NC, makes it harder to get much snow in setups like these once cold advection sets in
Think of it as the cold air skipping over you and by the time it filters down the precip is gone. Further east the cold air has more time to catch up.
Need a ULL track further south that can filter in cold air better, it looks to track right over us, which filters in cold air further east, and the flow behind it causes downsloping and increased temps near the mountains/upstate and foothills/parts of the Piedmont
Met1985
Member
This has always been a problem with the upstate getting cold air wrapped into a system or having cold air catch up to the moisture. The cause is the mountains. The cold air bleeds over the mountains slowly especially with this type of system. Unless the cold front blasts through then it will always be hard in this type setup to get the cold air in with the moisture.
DEATH BAND! You can cut that total in half two times for me. Time to ice down the yard in these 77 degree temps
In fact you can see the downsloping footprint pretty easy on the 3km, ignore the somewhat awkward shape 
Its throwing me the bird like always lol
brendan123
Member
For my area it can’t get too amped or else the R/S line goes too far NW and we get mixing issues, and it can’t be too weak which’d lead to a system too far south with rates that wouldn’t be able to overcome warm ground temperatures… I hate when it comes down to balancing games like this lol
Im really honestly just waiting for the NAM to come in amped out of nowhere. It happened with the storm last late jan just like this, while the GFS/RAP/HRRR had the right idea with a more amplified system 
WHAT IN THE ACTUAL TARNATION AM I SEEING
Stephenb888
Member
Upstate Sc will get in on this one. Just watch and see.
Thank you Ollie
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Nam is warning criteria for a decent chunk of Alabama
I’m sorry my guy. Upstate of SC will likely see 7 sleet pellets and a bologna sandwich
Guess what phase this storm is occurring in 
Brent
Member
25 degrees and tiny snowflakes here. Not expecting much but still
Guys, I’m having a mental meltdown. My 8 month old is looking at me like I’m absolutely crazy. I mean we just don’t get too many nam runs like that 36 hours out. I need ARCC and Storm5 to enter the thread.
Claycochaser and bingcrosby are welcome as well.
Claycochaser and bingcrosby are welcome as well.