FREEZING RAIN? now what the hell is going on with this systemThe SREF ARW is about as favorable as you can get. It slows down enough to get some CAD
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FREEZING RAIN? now what the hell is going on with this systemThe SREF ARW is about as favorable as you can get. It slows down enough to get some CAD
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100% agree but apparently now freezing rain is in the mix … I have no idea what’s going onI would say that with temps having to drop during the event, then staying at or slightly above freezing, and (yes) warm grounds most of this will melt on contact or very shortly afterwards. Still, if we get snow, it will be a huge victory for us. The bar is low for me right now.
I wish there was a precip plot for this so I can see how this evolves I just don’t get how we get a half an inch of freezing rain plus 2 inches of snow and sleet .. most models have us just getting down to 34 or so during the most favorable part of the stormThe SREF ARW is about as favorable as you can get. It slows down enough to get some CAD
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The system will need to slow or go farther south allowing more cold to work in. I guess it's possible. I'll definitely hope for it, but still be very happy to just see snow fall from the sky.100% agree but apparently now freezing rain is in the mix … I have no idea what’s going on
I just don't see it slowing down to the point of letting the cold air build in first. However, that would get the job done.I wish there was a precip plot for this so I can see how this evolves I just don’t get how we get a half an inch of freezing rain plus 2 inches of snow and sleet .. most models have us just getting down to 34 or so during the most favorable part of the storm
Why do you expect that to happen?Expect a south trend @ 18z
Cause I’m desperateWhy do you expect that to happen?
I would like to see one.Expect a south trend @ 18z
540 up in WV.View attachment 100277
Navy FWIW
Uhhh this is a genuine question I know little about this model ?What are the biases to that SREF model .. is it like a DGEX type thing or is it a legit model to look at for trends and such? I just don’t recall
Drought buster? ?
It’s just an ensemble member. It’s pretty accurate only as a mean. It’s best not to focus on the specifics.Uhhh this is a genuine question I know little about this model ?
The SREF is almost always wrong, odds are this probably goes north