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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

Oconeexman said:
Snowing pretty good Sky Valley
www.resortcams.com

Sky Valley, Georgia - Resort Cams

Located in northern Georgia, this webcam is located at the Sky Valley Country Club golf course and features amazing Smoky Mountain views.
www.resortcams.com www.resortcams.com
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That is stunningly beautiful, use to be a ski resort and quite a good one as well, really looks like some big flakes and starting to accumulate, I see a foot here at least..
 
Windergawx said:
temps seem to be hold pretty well!
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I have 44.6 here. My thermometer is proven accurate too.

Looks like it'll top out about 5 degrees below the forecast high. The less work for tonight's wedge and dynamical cooling to do, the better.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
he is also going for around 3” to 6 for most of the mountains and foothills with high elevation! Ice ice View attachment 106040
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Now that’s a face I can trust. Packing my bags and heading home now because Scotty is calling for a mountain dusting.
 
For us in North AL, I still don't understand why we're not under a WSWatch if both an advisory & warning is an upgrade from a watch. It makes no sense.
 
FallsLake said:
17z RAP at hour 21 (I'm still hopefully for a couple hours of snow):
View attachment 106044
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We better hope so because if we don’t get a at least an inch or so I would be really worried about our ice threat as I think this quickly goes over to freezing rain
 
Mt. Oglethorpe is in northeastern Pickens Co, GA just outside of Jasper. I had heard that there were a few flakes up on the mountain earlier today honestly didn't believe it. Temps in Jasper were around 45 and we have had light rain with winds out of the SSE. Jasper, Ga is around 1,500 ft of elevation. Heading out of town about 10 minutes or so up the mountain, it rises to around just under 3,000 ft as you cross into Dawson County. There is a road that goes up along the spine of Mt. Oglethorpe and climbs to around 3,270 ft or so.

I decided to drive up around 12:15 or so. Temp dropped to 34 degrees and we had a small flizzard around 2700 ft and it got a little heavier as we turned up the road heading to the top. Nothing sticking ... even on roofs, but cool to see. I was surprised to see it at this point.

Here is a brief VIDEO taken. Good luck to you all you fellow weenies! Stay safe, warm, and hope your power stays on!
 
53aa2f27ffc3eb6d5cda0b22880e1a8a.jpg



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
So if I can tell this right, for my area and those around me, it will be all snow at the start aside from maybe a short drizzle as the rates pick up. Goes to sleet or zr right as the dry slot moves in. As the precip moves back in, we'll go to Sleet then areas outside of the deeper wedge will go to ZR. As the low passes through ATL or south of it, we'll see a rapid changeover to snow with a band that will see some high rates. Where that sets up is unclear but for those who want to see accumulating snow outside the CAD area, that's your best bet. As soon as that low transfers however it'll dry up fast and the storm will be over.
 
ForsythSnow said:
So if I can tell this right, for my area and those around me, it will be all snow at the start aside from maybe a short drizzle as the rates pick up. Goes to sleet or zr right as the dry slot moves in. As the precip moves back in, we'll go to Sleet then areas outside of the deeper wedge will go to ZR. As the low passes through ATL or south of it, we'll see a rapid changeover to snow with a band that will see some high rates. Where that sets up is unclear but for those who want to see accumulating snow outside the CAD area, that's your best bet. As soon as that low transfers however it'll dry up fast and the storm will be over.
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I hate to think about the 'jump' when the transfer happens. It's gotten me several times where I've had snow to my West and East with barely anything here because it takes place right as the changeover begins. That's why I'm hugging the HRRR. If the NAM plays out I expect that transfer to effect North & mainly East of Atlanta where the West side may actually luck out. Models aren't really showing it but that's my experience. I do not want to have to count on back-end snow.
 
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