Lets keep these shifts going through 00z and then at 06z back to a boardwide hit as the energy is sampled how bout it?
Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
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Please post about which ensemble member is your favorite in the banter thread. Thanks.
Tennessee is going to be screwed unless we move entirely to a Miller A due to the secondary low.
As modeled not a lot, but it does mean the dreaded westward shift has stopped that could have hurt you guys as well. That eastward shift helps more of us to the east. Of course, a south shift would help everybody by providing more snow.
This seems very reasonable, likely underdone on ice accums tho
For those wondering; 18z GEFS is still a major ice storm in SC Midlands from I-20, North.
No they won't . The transfer is trending further SE . Last 6 ensembles cycles have trended better for them
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What is the scenario looking like for the triangle?
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The WPC basically says to not be surprised at major model changes.
What’s the overall take for the NW ATL burbs?
Part should be in the 12z Thursday balloons the other probably not until 12z Friday unless there are some Canadian locations I can't find
Depends where you live in the triangle tbh. North and Western parts a decent amount of snow, Sleet, freezing rain, south and east some snow, Sleet, freezing rain but likely changing to rain
No one really knows for sure. If the wedge is strong enough, you could see sleet or ZR. If it isn’t, probably just a cold rain with some backside snow
Solid 1-1.5” of precip for the entire SE too. Something major is coming.
Boone or 81 Corridor through VA for those interested, 80/20 I will be wheels up from Eastern NC.
Won’t be far from me then. I selected Mount Rogers, Virginia a few days ago and nothing has changed. That areas does very well with negating sleet intrusions.
Damn, my destination is in the red area, but that’s some dramatic wording. I’m all about some heavy snow, but I ain’t about dying ?