Hmmmm
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Hmmmm
Jrips2710
Member
Color me skeptical that the GFS has any clue what it's doing with that CAD signature
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Thats a sight for sore eyes. That mositure on the back side will at least give a dusting for us in central and north alabama
Snownut
Member
Yep I know this sounds like wishcasting but I honestly believe the Euro wins out as far as globals go on this one. It has been the most consistent IMO
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That's the key for us RDU folks. It's quicker starting the frozen/freezing precip and moves the plain rain out quicker (after the switch over).
The Triad is back in the game. Every positive tick east brings the snow totals southward.
If somehow we could get the ULL to dig deeper and transfer the low quicker it would definitely help North AL and GA to get a decent thump.
Snownut
Member
Exactly my thoughts watching this, is it's just not picking up on how cold it's gonna be
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Zander98al
Guest
The nam seems to be favoring this a bit it seems. Which I hope is the case
The 12z actually ticked south, but wasn’t as significant. Maybe a trend?
BelmontWX79
Member
Feel like the GFS is starting to get a clue about the surface low transfering further south but expect it should make adjust further.
I went from maybe an inch and a half in goofy last run to half a foot this run, which is roughly what the euro had.
Make that 6” of snow, 1.5” of sleet and some glaze.
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Zander98al
Guest
LP transitions and forms around Jacksonville, NC and moves up in the sound area towards Elizabeth City. Definitely more south and eastward. Not a lot but it's there. Need the GEFS to lead now and further east.
It’s the GFS alone now.
GFS (amped)
Vs
Euro, CMC, Icon, and you mise well say the NAM cause we knew where that was heading. (Less amped, colder)
GFS (amped)
Vs
Euro, CMC, Icon, and you mise well say the NAM cause we knew where that was heading. (Less amped, colder)
It’s amazing that the euro has a generational ice storm from Lexington to Camden but the GFS is like ????
I mean the GFS ends up with this lol. I’m perfectly fine having small eastern adjustments as we get our wave onshore tomorrow.
Yeah, It will be interesting to see how the models play out with the snow south of I-40. The GFS is the only one that is real bearish over the upstate and north GA.