Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Jessy89]

Still have the gfs for now


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Jet looks good on the euro but a pretty flat ML reflect means not much most advection and we are squeezing out what we can that is traveling with the system

Need more of a neutral tilt to get the gulf involved. Without that, there just isn't much uplift/forcing.

 

[BelmontWX79]

Yeah the cold air was still there over Northern SC all of NC the wave just flattened out too much at the last minute.

 

[Metwannabe]

Still have the gfs for now


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

You mean for your area correct? Just saying when you make these post, specify, someone might read it and think we lost it all together but that's not the case

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sigh, we can’t expect glory every run tho

 

[Jessy89]

You mean for your area correct? Just saying when you make these post, specify, someone might read it and think we lost it all together but that's not the case

Not just for my area but for a lot of areas that don’t see much snow. Good run for NC but even eastern nc does better then a lot of Georgia and SC. Dependent on location of ne NC of course. But some of NE NC saw the last storm a week or so ago


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[SnowNiner]

Sigh, we can’t expect glory every run tho View attachment 103308View attachment 103309

Euro looked like a strung out mess. Not what you want to see, but let's see if there's a signal for a stronger storm still on the EPS. Still 5-6 days out, op runs will fluctuate. If EPS whiffs then yeah....not great.

 

[BullCityWx]

The UKMET, in it's last frame, drove the snow line to Savannah, encompassing the entire coast of SC.

 

[WeatherNC]

Wet tongue for areas west and north, expect a min east before the coastal takes shape. N GA, Upstate and most of NC is in play but still a long way to verification.

 

[BullCityWx]

 

[jackendrickwx]

 

[BullCityWx]

Snow in the Mid 20s for much of NC north of 40.

 

[smast16]

Give me that GFS storm with a tad more juice with 13:1 ratios and i'd be happier than a pig in a mud hole.



Edit: Euro showing similar ratios as the 700-850 temps roughly the same between both models.

 

[Broken024]

View attachment 103313

Would this all be snow through northern sc?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[SD]

The gangs all here

 

[Broken024]

The gangs all hereView attachment 103319View attachment 103320

Well this narrows it down

 

[jackendrickwx]

The gangs all hereView attachment 103319View attachment 103320

How bizarre. I see souther slider, I see Miller B, I see clipper hybrids. Wtf

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS looks the same and or slightly better for I-85/NW, worse in SC

 

[MSnowAtl]

The gangs all hereView attachment 103319View attachment 103320

I would take 14 and 35! ???