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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

Watch the SS energy in the 4 corners area: Notice how far back off the SW coast it is on GFS compared to Euro last night. We want the NS vort to tap the SS, so it can really amp up some.

500hv.conus.png

500hv.conus.png
 
Really interested in seeing the EURO today and see where we are. Folks this thing trended to us around the 150hr. That is likely what is going to happen again because I think the best chance for snow will be around and just after the 20th so this might just be the appetizer
 
Might get a rare treat and actually be able to try and figure out ratios better than 10:1, instead of trying to figure out ratios less than 10:1 for a change. That will be refreshing. Lot of little quirks left to iron out at H%. Big picture is there now.
 
Don't get us Rockdaleions excited lol.. living south of 85 has been a nightmare the last 5 years or so

Even on the GFS, this thing ain't far off from being quite a big deal here. 850s are below freezing the entire time. SFC temps are high though. I suspect that can be corrected closer to the event. It's interesting that the warm biased Icon even shows snow for us lol.
 
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