Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[iGRXY]

This is about to be a fantastic run.

 

[Shawn]

Looking a lot better for Upstate SC and into NC/parts of TN. Not at all too hyped for as South as CAE yet, since these things can amp and bring temperature issues down there though. You'd want to see the snow line well to the South of the midlands to build confidence imo.

 

[Chandler]

CMC seemed faster than the other models

 

[WXinCanton]

12z Canadian is a wee bit north

 

[iGRXY]

Yep lol.

 

[FallsLake]

Part of this is wish casting but you would think the precip would be more expansive into central NC with this look --> a deepening storm off the coast of Wilmington at day 6:

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Broken024]

Some good, some not so good.

 

[accu35]

Some of the 12z gefs members starting to show off and also areas to the west

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Some of the 12z gefs members starting to show off and also areas to the west

It looks like some of the members want to try to pop a low along the gulf coast.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s clear where this is headed

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Although these trends are very exciting and fun all must be weary about how this evolves.. any one small change could have a big impact on who is impacted and how they are impacted .. lots of GEFS members show the complexities.. amplified means southern portions are cold rain and there is much more ice to deal with for CAD areas .. some dive this thing so far south that it’s shredded apart and most just see a flurry fest .. still probably accumulates but low totals for most… some dive it down south and crush SC but look to develop a well defined coastal and crush us all… still lots of things to iron out over the next couple days

 

[Metwannabe]

CMC some hybrid miller B BS but still ends up good for N. Tn and northern 1/3 of NC, Va gets slammed lol

 

[Metwannabe]

It’s clear where this is headed View attachment 103279

Yeah sometimes we forget to look at the trends and focus on one point, that's massive

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Still going

 

[packfan98]

Where's Larry? @GaWx

 

[accu35]

The 12z gefs mean looking good for the whole state of Georgia

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Pretty massive trends In our favor

 

[packfan98]

Here's the UKMET. Looks like it may have still been going at the end. Someone with better access to the maps can chime in, hopefully.