Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[LovingGulfLows]

No gonna lie that pretty far south, should start to pivot very soon... unbelievable this still ends up going through western NC, jeez

Yeah if I looked at something like that and didn't have any idea where the models were taking this thing. I'd think much of the South would be in for a big snow.

 

[EastMSweatherguy]

O

3k nam


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i will cash out right friggin now in meridian,ms!

 

[Metwannabe]

3k NAM a little earlier with precip and a little colder, this isn't much I know but it's a slight shift and improvement.

 

[Metwannabe]

Oof

 

[Snowflowxxl]

1z HRRR is a little stronger with the CAD around ATL, get frozen ITP.

 

[Rain Cold]

3k NAM a little earlier with precip and a little colder, this isn't much I know but it's a slight shift and improvement.

View attachment 106299

It's pretty significant farther east. 3k gives Wake about 8 hours of frozen precip. Not too shabby.

 

[KyloG]

I assume we are hugging the HRRR tonight? How does that usually work out…

 

[accu35]

Robert now calling for what we’ve been seeing on the HRRR

What are the white dot lines?

 

[CaryWx]

Tells me for Wake we stay sleet a little longer and reduce the zr window. Rain window doesn't change though. Hence a smaller zr window

 

[KyloG]

I’m hugging

 

[Snownut]

I assume we are hugging the HRRR tonight? How does that usually work out…

View attachment 106301

How can you not? It's been trending like this all day, all right within its wheelhouse

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[SD]

Oof

View attachment 106300

Talked myself out of buying a generator today. Knew this would start happening

 

[CaryWx]

Talked myself out of buying a generator today. Knew this would start happening

Yeah, zr window reducing to sleet window looks like. At least for our area

 

[SD]

Yeah, zr window reducing to sleet window looks like. At least for our area

I hope so. Give me all the Sleet looks like no matter what we are above freezing by mid afternoon

 

[FamouslyHot]

Some reports reaching the ground. Looks like snow/ice is about 1800 feet above Georgia

 

[Honeygrl]

The radar has shown rain over Athens, Ga for a while now but nothing has fallen yet.

 

[BufordWX]

Definitely starting to see those winds going up. Let’s see where things go in the next few hours. 41/33 right now.

 

[Metwannabe]

Still looks breezy tomorrow

 

[Arcc]

Snow Depth is not a good tool IMO. I've seen it bust WAY too low several times. In 2017 it had Cobb county at 2 inches and some places got over 10. It thinks a warm ground will eat everything.

Kuchera or regular are the way to go

Yep, never a good tool. Kuchera has been bad quite a bit as well.

 

[SnowNiner]

I’m hugging

View attachment 106302

Kuchera anyone? Hoping it keeps the same theme of pushing a bit more into clt region. I'm hugging awkwardly long and inappropriately where it will contact HR and complain.