Looks pretty much like the 3k. I wouldn't really worry about it tbh
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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
It was near NOLA a couple hours ago, so still moving due east
You’re not working on Monday. Jimmy guarantee
NCSNOW
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This is when its supose to hook 90 degrees left. Waiting to see myself. Wish it would head to jax then swing a hard left. So close on this one.
Downeastnc
Member
32/21 here in eastern NC awaiting my few hrs of sleet and ZR....
Something else I’m noticing and maybe I’m wrong but our high over the NE is still over Ontario. I thought it was supposed to be over Upstate NY by now
Inside 7 hours and HRRR not backing down. Alarm set for 3am. Better wake up to this thread going nuts from upstate folks getting rocked by fatties.
Not a great trend re: ground temps if you’re not wanting freezing rain. It seems like most areas in the NW Triangle are at least four degrees colder than at 18z. For MBY, I’m still at 29 by 21z tomorrow.
This could get bad.
This could get bad.
Here she comes 
LovingGulfLows
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Yeah the center of the ULL is definitely about to go directly over NOLA....no model had it that far south.
Looks like hard northeast to me
34/18 wind NNE at 2.
This is so much better than the typical full sun temps climbing to 45 before the winter storm.
This is so much better than the typical full sun temps climbing to 45 before the winter storm.
SimeonNC
Member
37.4/24.1
Avalanche
Member
27 degrees.
iGRXY
Member
Based on mesoscale it’s heading southeast directly towards NOLA
Stormlover
Member
From Meteorologist Chris Lisauckis in Huntsville
Good Evening, after reviewing the latest computer model data and applying various meteorological techniques, I see no reason to change the forecast much from earlier. The Tennessee Valley Region of northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee will be located in an ideal location for very heavy snow between 9am and 3pm Sunday. Whiteout conditions are likely at times over the area and travel problems will likely develop throughout the morning hours. An experimental snow forecasting index I am developing indicates 2-3" per hour snowfall rates are possible, and thundersnow. A fair amount of this snow will likely melt because of above freezing surface temperatures, however I still expect 5-7" across a large part of the area. Unfortunately, due to the difficulty of this forecast, it's not possible to predict locations where these totals are most likely at this time. The Tennessee Valley will be located in the left exit region of the high altitude jet stream portion of the storm system, which may allow temperatures to dynamically cool more than expected at the surface as heavy precipitation continues. Only a few degrees of surface temperature will separate us from getting 5-7" and 8-10" of snow. Things could change with the forecast. Please expect the unexpected.
Good Evening, after reviewing the latest computer model data and applying various meteorological techniques, I see no reason to change the forecast much from earlier. The Tennessee Valley Region of northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee will be located in an ideal location for very heavy snow between 9am and 3pm Sunday. Whiteout conditions are likely at times over the area and travel problems will likely develop throughout the morning hours. An experimental snow forecasting index I am developing indicates 2-3" per hour snowfall rates are possible, and thundersnow. A fair amount of this snow will likely melt because of above freezing surface temperatures, however I still expect 5-7" across a large part of the area. Unfortunately, due to the difficulty of this forecast, it's not possible to predict locations where these totals are most likely at this time. The Tennessee Valley will be located in the left exit region of the high altitude jet stream portion of the storm system, which may allow temperatures to dynamically cool more than expected at the surface as heavy precipitation continues. Only a few degrees of surface temperature will separate us from getting 5-7" and 8-10" of snow. Things could change with the forecast. Please expect the unexpected.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Downeastnc
Member
I mean the 00Z 3k took me from on the border of RN/ZR in the first hr of precip to now 6 hrs of frozen in one run.....kinda late to latch on to anything changing in earnest but that is pretty big change for 6 hrs.
Went from this with MBY on the rain line
To this....and it keeps me frozen for 5 frames versus none at 18Z
