Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

[Shawn]

Its still open at 45. jeeze

 

[iGRXY]

 

[SD]

How much raobs are involved in this mornings run is gonna be crucial to see if the models start to really latch on to a final solution.

There were at least some in the NW and likely a few over Canada that had some sampling

 

[Shawn]

Finally closes off by 48 hrs

 

[griteater]

It looks like the NAM is just a bit less amplified with the wave and a touch south. You can see the heights are lower thru Texas, and then from Ohio to Florida

 

[Shaggy]

There were at least some in the NW and likely a few over Canada that had some sampling

This is our last chance at seeing any shift back to the previous runs with less amping. It's a real long shot but it's the only one we got. Keep the wave open as long as possible!!!!!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Probably gonna be a snowier run

 

[iGRXY]

850's colder and the 0C creeped south about 30-40 miles here.

 

[tempo47]

Is ATL area out of the game as of now?

 

[BelmontWX79]

Improved transport of colder air at 850s this run.

 

[BHS1975]

View attachment 104925
850's colder and the 0C creeped south about 30-40 miles here.

That's huge for the Wake Co screw zone.


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[iGRXY]

 

[SD]

This is our last chance at seeing any shift back to the previous runs with less amping. It's a real long shot but it's the only one we got. Keep the wave open as long as possible!!!!!

Basically, it should be fully sampled by 0z if we don't change a lot by then we probably aren't going to

 

[malak05]

Is ATL area out of the game as of now?

Not at all the many solutions still are showing all manners of wintry precp. thru GA all the way to Alabama

 

[tucker]

Is ATL area out of the game as of now?

No one is out of the game yet.

 

[iGRXY]

More snow looks probable at least initially.

 

[griteater]

Colder and south adjustment on the NAM

 

[DopplerWx]

improved.

 

[ATLwxfan]

I anticipate more widespread icing on the front end here.


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[Ron Burgundy]

Is ATL area out of the game as of now?

Not at all. Lot of variables still in play with timing, track, wedge, etc.