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Wintry Jan 15-16 Winter Storm Discussion & Obs

Great Euro run for the southern areas
PQLx9LK.gif
 
Slight run to run differences on the ??...View attachment 103612
You can totally see the effect of the better placed and strengthening 50/50 low just off the screen of the top right there. Completely builds the high towards New England and our low gets shunted SW. Amazing how much that one ingredient changes the set up.
 
The CMC and Euro looks very similar to my eyes. Not the same blocking we saw on the GFS so I'm not sure why some are putting the two models in the same camp.
I would say the storm wave on the CMC is much stronger compared to the Euro....and goes negative tilt, where Euro does not
 
At day 5, yes you love the EURO run. Last place you want to be at day 5 is in the bullseye on the southern end.
Exactly. At this range the ensemble means are still the most relevant but we want a flat euro/ukie mix if you ask me. Blend that with the amped gfs and cmc and we have a perfect track for everyone.
 
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