NEXT WEEK
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FV3
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Well, things do look a lot better right now on the models for the storm next week versus this weekend. Maybe we whiff on this weekend but get rewarded next week around the 30th. Of course, 8 days out is still a long way to go.
packfan98
Moderator
A couple of interesting observations.
1) If the PV is squashing our system too far south, why isn't the SE colder?
2) If the 28-30 system doesn't work out, I really hope it's a near miss and the system still shoots poleward instead of being squashed completely. It seems like only the model runs where the system eventually goes north does it pull down more cold air.
1) If the PV is squashing our system too far south, why isn't the SE colder?
2) If the 28-30 system doesn't work out, I really hope it's a near miss and the system still shoots poleward instead of being squashed completely. It seems like only the model runs where the system eventually goes north does it pull down more cold air.
It's more or less in a bad spot and shearing the s/w. It also keeps the s/w tilted positive. The second effect is the s/w we are watching has trended slower and the next s/w that once appeared to be the next threat had trended stronger and farther eastward. Not that it will matter at that point, but that adds the finishing blows.
Oh Canada.
GFS has something for Tuesday.
Old run
I think that is yesterday’s run
Stormlover
Member
sorry, thanks...my bad.
I would love for that to verify though! It was a beauty!
Yeah it was. The CMC run is out to 42 hours.
Snowflowxxl
Member
CMC likely has something 
Stormlover
Member
today's 12z cmc 
mydoortotheworld
Member
Is this all from the Tuesday storm?
Stormlover
Member
for Alabama and Tennessee, almost all is..north of there there is some before then
That low track is $$
Jessy89
Member
Yes it is. Accumulations right now though on cmc is 1 inch north of 85.
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Stormlover
Member
something east showing up
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I'm a little surprised by this map:
Based off the 500 mb map Snowflowxxl posted, I thought for sure that this would be a good looking storm. Guess this one gets wound up too. .-.
This is a decent looking hit for NC though. (edit: and for some more western areas of the SE)
Based off the 500 mb map Snowflowxxl posted, I thought for sure that this would be a good looking storm. Guess this one gets wound up too. .-.
This is a decent looking hit for NC though. (edit: and for some more western areas of the SE)
Last edited:
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Looks better than yesterday did and the GFS seems to be maintaining some sort of wintry potential.
The Euro showed something similar last night.
Looking at 2m temps it looks cold before the storm and cold after...hopefully it’s not crap salad wedged between cold shots..doubtful
Big (only) takeaway is the storm has showed up again on the CMC. That’s about all you need to know right now
If we don't get snow from the Sunday/Monday system, there is a possibility of snow with the Tuesday/Wednesday system.
Snowflowxxl
Member
FV3 isnt overly impressed with the mid week threat.
The surface depiction is garbage. It would look nothing like that if the upper air map is right.
Also, got to love the CAA delivered by a 1031 mb High in southern Mexico!
Storm5
Member
Euro on board next Tuesday
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Storm5
Member
Sign me up
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Storm5
Member
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whizrtr
Member
Storm, is that another clipper system?
Jessy89
Member
Why does it dry up as it moves east. Is it the mountains breaking it up?
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Most of the background momentum & "energy" is being transferred to the coastal low offshore of the Carolinas.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If there's a silver lining & glimmer of hope from a bomb solution into New England it's that a monster cyclone w/ being synergistically amplified by multiple branches of the jet could lead to a west-based -NAO as the Rossby Wave packet emanating from big cyclonic wave break over New England and Southern Canada propagates downstream and triggers a huge ridge just southwest of Greenland.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Chattownsnow
Member
Euro appears to have a snowstorm for Tennessee, Northern Alabama, Northern Mississippi around day 10. Temps look close just glancing on my phone but I don’t have access to all the good stuff right now.