• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Jammin' January

Well, things do look a lot better right now on the models for the storm next week versus this weekend. Maybe we whiff on this weekend but get rewarded next week around the 30th. Of course, 8 days out is still a long way to go.
 
A couple of interesting observations.
1) If the PV is squashing our system too far south, why isn't the SE colder?
2) If the 28-30 system doesn't work out, I really hope it's a near miss and the system still shoots poleward instead of being squashed completely. It seems like only the model runs where the system eventually goes north does it pull down more cold air.
 
A couple of interesting observations.
1) If the PV is squashing our system too far south, why isn't the SE colder?
2) If the 28-30 system doesn't work out, I really hope it's a near miss and the system still shoots poleward instead of being squashed completely. It seems like only the model runs where the system eventually goes north does it pull down more cold air.

It's more or less in a bad spot and shearing the s/w. It also keeps the s/w tilted positive. The second effect is the s/w we are watching has trended slower and the next s/w that once appeared to be the next threat had trended stronger and farther eastward. Not that it will matter at that point, but that adds the finishing blows.
 
GFS has something for Tuesday.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png
 
I'm a little surprised by this map:

1548175371571.png

Based off the 500 mb map Snowflowxxl posted, I thought for sure that this would be a good looking storm. Guess this one gets wound up too. .-.

This is a decent looking hit for NC though. (edit: and for some more western areas of the SE)
 
Last edited:
I'm a little surprised by this map:

View attachment 12567

Based off the 500 mb map Snowflowxxl posted, I thought for sure that this would be a good looking storm. Guess this one gets wound up too. .-.

This is a decent looking hit for NC though.
449CF1D6-DD5A-45FA-BFE7-2E779690EE92.png
I don’t trust this look. Needs some work
 
Looking at 2m temps it looks cold before the storm and cold after...hopefully it’s not crap salad wedged between cold shots..doubtful
 
Big (only) takeaway is the storm has showed up again on the CMC. That’s about all you need to know right now
 
If we don't get snow from the Sunday/Monday system, there is a possibility of snow with the Tuesday/Wednesday system.
 
The forecasted temperature anomalies the next 2 weeks are resembling somewhat more of La Nina than El Nino with the coldest anomalies in the northern tier as opposed to southern tier of the US.
 
I'm a little surprised by this map:

View attachment 12567

Based off the 500 mb map Snowflowxxl posted, I thought for sure that this would be a good looking storm. Guess this one gets wound up too. .-.

This is a decent looking hit for NC though. (edit: and for some more western areas of the SE)

The surface depiction is garbage. It would look nothing like that if the upper air map is right.

Also, got to love the CAA delivered by a 1031 mb High in southern Mexico!
 
Why does it dry up as it moves east. Is it the mountains breaking it up?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
If there's a silver lining & glimmer of hope from a bomb solution into New England it's that a monster cyclone w/ being synergistically amplified by multiple branches of the jet could lead to a west-based -NAO as the Rossby Wave packet emanating from big cyclonic wave break over New England and Southern Canada propagates downstream and triggers a huge ridge just southwest of Greenland.
 
Euro appears to have a snowstorm for Tennessee, Northern Alabama, Northern Mississippi around day 10. Temps look close just glancing on my phone but I don’t have access to all the good stuff right now.
 
Back
Top