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Pattern Jammin' January

Good news is that the last 2 EPS have been progressively colder over the SE 1/30-2/3 and are less zonal. The bad news is that the 12Z GEFS warmed for then vs the 0Z and is warmer than the EPS for then.
 
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Not digging as much it’s in Texas


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Click on Upper Dynamics under the map in TT then scroll down to Z500 Vort and Wind. Gives a better visual as to what’s going on
 
Healthy system number 2 coming down Idaho. Wasn't bad at 12Z and gave some snow. Maybe this run will be decent.

And much colder air may be available. Look at that 1043 mb high coming down that previous runs lacked. Let's see how it gets positioned.
 
My oh my I think the first potential is a distraction. The real threat the 2nd system


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Regarding this 2nd potential, will it just be a frontal passage or will it be more?

Edit: I think it is going to just be a simple cold frontal passage.
 
Regarding this 2nd potential, will it just be a frontal passage or will it be more?
Looks to be more based on the energy at 5H. Time will tell.

Edit: Looks like the energy dropping down in the west never kicks in and just hangs out too long.
 
And much colder air may be available. Look at that 1043 mb high coming down that previous runs lacked. Let's see how it gets positioned.
Going to be a different look than the Canadian had earlier. No wave separation yet
 
Regarding this 2nd potential, will it just be a frontal passage or will it be more?

Edit: I think it is going to just be a simple cold frontal passage.
There is a low, it’s just in PA!
 
GFS looked a lot like it’s 12z run for round 2 at least at the surface. Do we really want it onboard yet? The answer is no. No we don’t
 
Happy hour fv3 may make some people smile when the pretty maps come out on TT. Hour150
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Edit...surface temps may suck. Sorry for the fake news.
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All I'm wondering now is if it has the second storm.
It's there. Light and strung out looking. 2 days after the first. Looks like a clipper that dives way south then redevelops. Temps for north GA and AL look like you have a shot at hour 180 too. Cold behind the first system.
 
Evidently the Euro weeklies look great based on second hand info. No degradation of the +PNA. whatsoever.

I got a look at them vs the prior run. Whereas what I said above is confirmed, they're actually not as cold weeks 3 and 4 vs the prior run.
 
18 here this morning... it was cold with the wind for sure! Hopefully this weather will continue for several weeks and into Feb so that we can all score.
 
Already down to 17, I might make a run at 10-12..... with no snow on the ground, impressive.
 
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