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Pattern Jammin' January

Models keep on throwing out a big storm right around the 20-25th I feel like by the end of next week we will be tracking a big southern snowstorm for many
 
Going to be a long couple of weeks. The potential is there, but the model runs are not going to always be great. The good thing is the storm signal is really strong from the 20th onward and we have a great shot at some winter storms coming down the pipe. The team on the field is good, now we just have to see if it can get the win.
 
Storm5 said:
No not really . There is clearly a storm signal during this period . The ensembles are all over it. This look right is really close to something much bigger .
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Even if it was an extremely light event like an inch - 1.5 . It would have impacts of a huge winter storm with the arctic plowing in behind it and staying for days


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Happened last January for MBY. Only an inch of snow fell, but the cold that followed was cold enough to impact roads for 2 to 3 days.

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Since I can’t get snow, at this point I think I would take a good 2.5” rainstorm with a flash freeze on the backside like what the American twins are showing
 
12z GEFS really doesn't have any blocking or ridging over the pole until late, thus the cold is centered in the center of the conus. When blocking over greenland shows up, the cold comes east a bit later.

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Vs.

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In honor of transparency of the surface maps being thrown around...Here is the FV3 radar look...

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My goodness, that's a 982 coastal low at hr 204. Somebody's gonna get hammered with that thing running up the east coast.
 
NWTENN said:
My goodness, that's a 982 coastal low at hr 204. Somebody's gonna get hammered with that thing running up the east coast.
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The canadian had this 2 nights ago at 0z run. Day 10, to the tee h5.
 
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