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Pattern Jammin' January

Storm5 said:
Lol just slight differences between the gfs and FV3 at H5
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amen Brother! I was noticing that myself..lol..How can both of these models have GFS in their name? They not only look like they are from other countries, they look like they"re from different worlds???
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
What is it showing?
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See below and for the rest of the story go to Tropical Tidbits, run the loop and compare to previous runs, look at the 850 level (below image) and the 500 mb level. It's taking steps in the right direction....
ecmwf_T850_us_11.png
 
metwannabe said:
See below and for the rest of the story go to Tropical Tidbits, run the loop and compare to previous runs, look at the 850 level (below image) and the 500 mb level. It's taking steps in the right direction....
ecmwf_T850_us_11.png
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It’s also a day ten euro run


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metwannabe said:
This coming from the guy posting 384 hr GEFS maps and saying the wait is over

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I was posting that for the people punting January and making stupid ass comments about winter being over for parts of the southeast


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Storm5 said:
I was posting that for the people punting January and making stupid ass comments about winter being over for parts of the southeast


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So was I
And guiding others to a location to see what we were discussing
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Let's see if happy hour continues with the fantasy storms on the GFS. It's good seeing that as it really signals a pattern change is on the horizon. Didn't the December storm show around the 260-280 hour range also?
 
In all serious though that ridge out west and into Alaska on the 12z GEFS starts to pop around hour 60 and the rest of the run looks pretty damn good. As much as I hate snow, the pattern change is coming
 
metwannabe said:
See below and for the rest of the story go to Tropical Tidbits, run the loop and compare to previous runs, look at the 850 level (below image) and the 500 mb level. It's taking steps in the right direction....
ecmwf_T850_us_11.png
Click to expand...

Both the GEFS and the EPS agrees that there's some type of coastal in the 10 day time frame. However it looks like on the ensembles, they're warm, and the frame before the coastal, the EPS has them almost into Tennessee like this weekends storm. My guess is another Miller boo boo. Not sure what to look out for to keep it suppressed in the gulf other than a nice 50/50 low which isn't shown. It's all WAR up there. GEFS has it more along the coast though.

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SoutheastRidge said:
Looks like we're gonna have to wait until after the 25th for snow in the deep south. At least there will be a snowpack building to the north. Maybe that will help in February.
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SoutheastRidge said:
Looks like we're gonna have to wait until after the 25th for snow in the deep south. At least there will be a snowpack building to the north. Maybe that will help in February.
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wow. there is all kinds of possibilities before then...it's amazing how easy it is for people to freak out on here
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Looks like we're gonna have to wait until after the 25th for snow in the deep south. At least there will be a snowpack building to the north. Maybe that will help in February.
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There is no way anyone knows with any certainty what type of sensible weather there will be by then. We can't even predict an ice storm around here a few days out. ;)
 
I just saw this at that BB: "Weenies look great. Big -NAO signal week 4. Week 3 got even better."

Regarding the weeklies, I don't get them this early.
 
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