Gfs is going to be too slow for most of nc sc ga looks good for TN northern AL ms
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
JLL1973
Member
GFS:
ICON:
CMC:
ICON:
CMC:
TarHeelSnow
Member
Still a decent spot to be for most compared to having nothing at all to watch. 6 days out from our Jan 11 wave dropping south. Wherever the digital snow is showing several days after that doesn’t matter if we don’t get that first wave right. And for now, getting that first wave right is still on the table.
GEFS following the Op dropping into Montana. More ridging on the west coast
Brent
Member
Yeah some of the talk I've seen here is pretty up there too. Something big is definitely coming
Oh we see them rolling in alright. That's not a problem. Whether they will snow or not is the question. Also not really an issue to identify the cutters either. We need some **** honest solid cold to work with
Brent
Member
Yeah even out here so far temps are just killing us and Tuesday may follow the same path tbh. It's really cutting into our snow potential
griteater
Member
UKMet run dropping in nicely, avoiding Seattle
griteater
Member
Last night's GEFS run vs. tonight's. Weaker AK ridge / Stronger Greenland ridge *thumbs up*
Noice 
Wouldn’t be lying when the first thing this H5 pattern reminds me of, is February 2014, only difference is -SCAND. But same equatorial shifted pacific jet, similar blocking across the high latitudes, and similar progression with the TPV sliding east to that pattern 
Demolishing the big AK block is doing us big favors.
1. The -NAO is becoming the key feature (which we want)
2. Prevents amplification of the pattern
3. Speeds up the pattern over the US
Also note how the -NAO has trended stronger, from a model suite that was looking bleak before, these are some pretty positive changes
1. The -NAO is becoming the key feature (which we want)
2. Prevents amplification of the pattern
3. Speeds up the pattern over the US
Also note how the -NAO has trended stronger, from a model suite that was looking bleak before, these are some pretty positive changes
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
A couple warning shots fired on the long range gfs.
I still generally like the possibility of something happening just after mid-month as the vortex over Canada ejects out into the Atlantic. Most of the ingredients are there for a southern slider/overrunning event
I still generally like the possibility of something happening just after mid-month as the vortex over Canada ejects out into the Atlantic. Most of the ingredients are there for a southern slider/overrunning event
packfan98
Moderator
384 hours to glory!
Cad Wedge NC
Member
We know it won't verify but looking at the soundings/set up of that storm for NC, NGA, and the SC upstate, .... mid to upper 20's, saturation all the way to 300mb's, solid snow sounding, big banana high pressure, and a perfect storm track. Now, let's get something like this within 72 hours and I will believe.
Get that look on the Euro in the day 9-10 range closer and this place is humming.
This is the first over performing rain event here in months. Some models showed less than .25” but we got .84”. Baby steps