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Pattern Jammin January 2024

The GFS has a big 591MB ridge just off the coast of the southeast that is no hurry to move late in the run. 60-degree dewpoints up to I-85 for several days. That high shows up late next weekend and is still around at hour 318.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I hate this hobby, and winter with a passion View attachment 142317
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Been raining like crazy for the last two weeks. But when we get precip now it's too warm for snow, and when we go into the deep feeeze there won't be any precip. Ridiculous how hard it is to get snow in NC.
 
JHS said:
The GFS has a big 591MB ridge just off the coast of the southeast that is no hurry to move late in the run. 60-degree dewpoints up to I-85 for several days. That high shows up late next weekend and is still around at hour 318.
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Sounds about right
 
Lets supose 18z GFS is right. Well its no secret we warm up jan 21-28. Hate to be the bad news guy and Brick is gonna hate this. But 21st,22cnd are seasonable almost with highs in low to mid 50's.
23rd-27th it rains on an off non stop per gfs. Then it exits and leaves everyone with a perfectly parked Cad HP. "Enjoy the wx, its the only wx you got"
 
JHS said:
The GFS has a big 591MB ridge just off the coast of the southeast that is no hurry to move late in the run. 60-degree dewpoints up to I-85 for several days. That high shows up late next weekend and is still around at hour 318.
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Also rains for 4 straight days while its parked there. Good Times! Wx heard you needing more rain an its gonna deliver.
 
Week 2 precip…I actually prefer this to the useless blocking.

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JHS said:
The GFS has a big 591MB ridge just off the coast of the southeast that is no hurry to move late in the run. 60-degree dewpoints up to I-85 for several days. That high shows up late next weekend and is still around at hour 318.
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I’m not sure what you’re looking at on the GFS but that ridge is moving east after 2 days or so and the warmest CLT got on that entire run was 64 a couple times around the 27th… most of the mild spell for the Piedmont and upstate sees highs in the mid to upper 50s. Right after that you can see the ridge start to spike up out west as a +PNA takes hold.
 
Chazwin said:
I’m not sure what you’re looking at on the GFS but that ridge is moving east after 2 days or so and the warmest CLT got on that entire run was 64 a couple times around the 27th… most of the mild spell for the Piedmont and upstate sees highs in the mid to upper 50s. Right after that you can see the ridge start to spike up out west as a +PNA takes hold.
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It's just @JHS being himself.
 
Chazwin said:
I’m not sure what you’re looking at on the GFS but that ridge is moving east after 2 days or so and the warmest CLT got on that entire run was 64 a couple times around the 27th… most of the mild spell for the Piedmont and upstate sees highs in the mid to upper 50s. Right after that you can see the ridge start to spike up out west as a +PNA takes hold.
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Webb said on twitter back at the beginning of Jan that he expected big dog potential beginning of February or a little after. Is that what your thinking as well?
 
Stevo24 said:
Webb said on twitter back at the beginning of Jan that he expected big dog potential beginning of February or a little after. Is that what your thinking as well?
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magic_8ball.png
 
Stevo24 said:
Webb said on twitter back at the beginning of Jan that he expected big dog potential beginning of February or a little after. Is that what your thinking as well?
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Well it’s hard to argue with Webb considering how good he’s been the last several years. He was dead on about the way that really good pattern developed and progressed in 2022 and the crap fest that we saw last year. I think just based on climo, yes we’re setting up to have big storm potential once we hit early February. I will caution though that big storm potential may very well be ice/mixed bag
 
Chazwin said:
Well it’s hard to argue with Webb considering how good he’s been the last several years. He was dead on about the way that really good pattern developed and progressed in 2022 and the crap fest that we saw last year. I think just based on climo, yes we’re going to have big storm potential once we hit early February.
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do you think it could be severe weather potential in February ?
 
NCSNOW said:
Lets supose 18z GFS is right. Well its no secret we warm up jan 21-28. Hate to be the bad news guy and Brick is gonna hate this. But 21st,22cnd are seasonable almost with highs in low to mid 50's.
23rd-27th it rains on an off non stop per gfs. Then it exits and leaves everyone with a perfectly parked Cad HP. "Enjoy the wx, its the only wx you got"
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The man with that quote has said that for weeks. Warms up and then reloads. We shall see
 
Chazwin said:
You know what even that is following along with what Webb said a week or so ago. He said that when we have the brief warm up, except to see the biggest warm anomalies over the Northeast and Great Lakes
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And then followed by…..?❄️☃️?
 
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