If we could beat back that Atlantic ridging a bit it certainly wouldn’t hurt. Always a thorn
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Brent
Member
Wow and I thought the icon was cold ? verbatim this would be near all time lows
GEFS should have some good members in it. I expect an uptick in it. We should know in a few.
This little ridge even if it’s pushed just off the southeastern coast seems to always favor some sort of transfer. I used to think I wanted it there for amplification purposes but it just doesn’t work 
Move the SE Canada low a little southeast and you'd have it. That would keep our storm suppressed and sliding ENE across the south
I’m all for more stream separation. Lag it behind some
These are the pretty maps that tuck @Rain Cold in at night. Cold tap nearby is always #1 on the checklist 
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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We need you to anchor our banana hammock high later this month. Hold the line
I would also say the bigger driver there is the ridge is too close to the west coast. If it’s back off the coast a little that would help as well.Move the SE Canada low a little southeast and you'd have it. That would keep our storm suppressed and sliding ENE across the south
@192
JLL1973
Member
Much better mean. Areas north of I40 are going to get hammered
@198
Yes, and maybe some in between I-20 and I-40.
Definitely getting an increase each run.
New: 204
Old 18z: 210
Old 12z: 216
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Pretty darn good signal on the GEFS, esp for TN, AR, and parts of AL & MS
At this point, I think the Jan 15-16 timeframe favors that area you mention here, and the Jan 18-20 timeframe would have potential in that area again, but also east of the Apps after our cold source TPV pinwheels east and positions itself up under the block in the James Bay / Great Lakes / Northeast area. Looks good here on the GEFS.
SnowwxAtl
Member
Grit, just catching up over pages of post ,but this is mid south special right now as it looks and not quite a I 20- I 40 Special correct?At this point, I think the Jan 15-16 timeframe favors that area you mention here, and the Jan 18-20 timeframe would have potential in that area again, but also east of the Apps after our cold source TPV pinwheels east and positions itself up under the block in the James Bay / Great Lakes / Northeast area. Looks good here on the GEFS.
CMC Ensemble is pretty active during the 15-16th timeframe in parts of the forum 
This is 'dangerous' long range type stuff of course, but yeah, high chance that we have a big cutter Jan 12-13. If it's going to be wintry with the next storm after that in the Jan 15-16 timeframe, I'd say if favors the S AR to E TN area (along that line, and a bit south and north of that line). Jan 18-20 is the timeframe that I think offers the most potential for areas deeper into the southeast.
SnowwxAtl
Member
Thank you for the clarity sir! Carryon...
You can good VP maps here from JMA. Anything prior to 1980 or so isn't reliable because this data is captured by satellites, and we didn't have full coverage then....that's my understanding anyway
Euro looks improved though 144. Cold spilling into the SE. Wave in Cali. Let’s see what happens
Fun run. Mountains getting smoked
Goodnight all! Wake up the NC weenies 
Okay okay I lied and stayed up for the EPS. Kinda looks like @Webberweather53’s composite for Southern overrunning events he posted a few days back
Last edited:
EPS catching on to the storm signal 
Psalm 148:8
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Looks like a rough ride when the SPC has a slight risk out for day 5!!?. But a big storm is usually the beginning of a pattern change!
Dang y’all this has a chance. If the model bias they always have with pushing the northern stream out too fast is real here, a lot could score. Gonna be fun watching for that big vortex to trend SE.
NCSNOW
Member
Caught another decent Frost this morning. All my griping about boring weather in 2023. Well we got 2 big Wind /Rain Events this week and hopefully 2 Frozen events next week. Tuesday and Friday are our days, which fits the rhythm of the winter pattern thanks to el nino sending a storm every 3-5 days.
Hope the euro is right for next Tuesday and Ill be very surprised if another storm doesn't pop up for Friday/Saturday week. That one may be the ticket for a board wide event as the cold air will be entrenched and we usually do well on the backside of cold plunges.
Hope the euro is right for next Tuesday and Ill be very surprised if another storm doesn't pop up for Friday/Saturday week. That one may be the ticket for a board wide event as the cold air will be entrenched and we usually do well on the backside of cold plunges.
NCSNOW
Member
6z GFS strings out SS energy, latter than euro by 12 hours with Tuesday event. Better results for eastern NC.
@BIG FROSTY special. Might be time to book a ski trip if this stays on the table
Dam son. Severe is popping off 
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That evolution from the euro is exactly what I might expect from this potential event
Nerman
Member
Nice frost here this morning.
This doesn't look bad for just over a week out:
This doesn't look bad for just over a week out:
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Slight preference to the control of course