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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Classic solid 18Z NAMming. Either it breaks soon or the other models start to bend in its favor. Tomorrow it'll be within 48 hours as well.
We should know by tonight’s NAM run if it’s on to something. Interestingly the FFC mentioned in the latest discussion some of the global ensembles are NAM like.
 
The ole 5 inch Atlanta bullseye ??View attachment 139685
Talk about an i85 special. Its doable if there is enough precip..but the nam is several times heavier with precip totals. However even with lighter amounts i think folks will see flakes falling at least. There is very dry air just off the surface through the mid levels which should result in quite a lot of evap cooling. Even though surface temps will be fairly warm initially low wetbulb zero heights flakes shouldn't have much problem reaching the surface from Atlanta to Athens northward...assuming of course there is enough precip to make it through that dry air. Any enhanced band of precip would go over to snow fairly easily imo. Looking at soundings ..areas as far south as I 20 in ga could be cold enough to see flakes..although wetbulb zero heights are marginal there.


Just want to see other models increase overall totals. Nam is a bit north of other models with the surface low so hopefully we will at least see a compromise position.
 
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