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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Also, should add Ukie really likes Tennessee, N. Miss, and Ark for the weekend storm this run FWIW.
 

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This feels like it was one step away from being a decent run for N GA/Carolinas.
View attachment 139622
In the sweet spot for NW trend and Frontogenesis that Globals have hard time measuring. The precip bleeds and expands northward moreso. All models are showinf a little bit of something at this point mid week but HRRR/RAP/NAM will be big in showing just how expansive it could be.
 
Concord and Mount Pleasant wouldn’t surprise me at all. They always seem cooler and snowy while Union County gets the shaft! ?
This is an I40 south with the sweet spot probably somewhere along I85 and Highway 74 type event because you need a good combo of WWA and CAA to drive the precip. Got to be in the cold air sector with just enough WAA and not have too much of either.
 
He's been very good at reading the modeling since I began to follow him,
He's always positive.

Another one that when he talks I pay attention.
Thanks for the kind words. I am definitely always looking on the bright side of things, lol.

I'm loving the overnight trends for the Wednesday system. As long as we can trend this thing to .25-.50 of liquid we could see a nice burst of snow. Still too early to know if the boundary layer will become an issue or not. The NAM seems to think it won't be much of an issue.
 
Euro has trended towards a classical CAD look for the weekend system. Verbatim it's has significant ice along the escarpment, but I'd assume it's a couple degree's too warm at the surface if we get a look like this.View attachment 139629

Long term gsp added freezing rain for my local overnight on Saturday with a low of 33.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Even the 06z GFS has some escarpment ice in spite of a 988mb primary low in Northern Alabama.

One thing I would bet the house on; there won't be a sub 990mb low in North Alabama. I'd guess the GFS will calm down and fall in line with other guidance today.
 
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