Pattern Jammin January 2024

[LukeBarrette]

GFS is going to be a cutter by the time we get to the 1/7 system. These trends are not good

 

[Mitch West]

GFS is going to be a cutter by the time we get to the 1/7 system. These trends are not good

That system was going to need a ton of work to work out for the upper Southeast anyways. Just don’t think that’s our storm.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Canadian jogged north

 

[tennessee storm]

GFS is going to be a cutter by the time we get to the 1/7 system. These trends are not good

The system after that going be a strong cutter , that will have some severe weather on the se side the second system

 

[CaryWx]

Let's see if the euro says cutter

 

[Stevo24]

Let's see if the euro says cutter

I thought El Niño was known for the jet stream being lower and producing gulf low after gulf low. What’s up with the cutters.

 

[tennessee storm]

I thought El Niño was known for the jet stream being lower and producing gulf low after gulf low. What’s up with the cutters.

There is absolutely no blocking what so ever as of now

 

[tennessee storm]

This winter has to much influence from the pacific jet… it’s killing our chance to get any real cold air down to stay

 

[weatherfide]

There are rather large differences in real weather at 144 hours between the GFS, GEM and UKIE. Even the GEFS is all over the place with different solutions. I bet some good rains are coming for my area, though. I need more rain so that is good.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Wow, lots of possibilities at this timeframe

 

[WSW]

 

[tennessee storm]

View attachment 139551
Wow, lots of possibilities at this timeframe

Yeah if you like a good cool rain … unfortunately

 

[rburrel2]

GFS is on an island with the bombing cutter. Right now every other model has sped up timing a little bit and it's looking like front end icing is a real a possibility Saturday morning.

CMC/Ukmet/ICON all get precip in to GA/SC early Saturday morning and temps/dews are roughly 32/22 at onset.

GEFS is showing this as well with 5-6 members.

 

[BullCityWx]

View attachment 139551
Wow, lots of possibilities at this timeframe

Looks a lot like the euro control run we had overnight, just not quite as good of a cold press. That’s how we score before mid/late month.

 

[tennessee storm]

GFS is on an island with the bombing cutter. Right now every other model has sped up timing a little bit and it's looking like front end icing is a real a possibility Saturday morning.

CMC/Ukmet/ICON all get precip in to GA/SC early Saturday morning and temps/dews are roughly 32/22 at onset.

GEFS is showing this as well with 5-6 members.

Euro has booming cutter also though just getting in range of it

 

[tennessee storm]

Anyone putting any stock into a cmc model far out don’t trust it, always cold bias also

 

[rburrel2]

Euro has booming cutter also though just getting in range of it

It was definitely more amped than most guidance last night. Todays run should give a good indication where we're headed.

 

[Rain Cold]

I thought El Niño was known for the jet stream being lower and producing gulf low after gulf low. What’s up with the cutters.

Only after late January into early February after snowpack2023.

 

[griteater]

i think one of the best ways we could score before we shake the pattern up was depicted by the control last night.View attachment 139542

Euro control tucked a bunch of blue stuff up under a strong block. That's the move we need to see post cutter

 

[SD]

I thought El Niño was known for the jet stream being lower and producing gulf low after gulf low. What’s up with the cutters.

When the jet is running from Cabo to Bangor cutter printer go brrr