rburrel2
Member
Lots of absolute hammer jobs for South/Central Virginia in the GEFS. They're sitting in a great spot right now.
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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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DeeeeTeeee is out buying pants! He was posting like a crazy on FB about 3-4 in the morning!
Yesterday it was closer to Atlanta I believe. That’s what I mean I’m terms of more north. It did move south up that way.
Haha, never happen but I can’t unsee that.
Just out of curiosity… what is your confidence level compared to the last two years? I remember that you called the very good pattern we had in January 2022 from back a couple weeks before Christmas and then last year you were very certain by the first week of January that the rest of the winter would torch for us. Both times you were pretty much spot on. How confident are you going forward this year?
tennessee storm
Member
per the gfs and the euro, maybe time start up a severe wx thread on that big bomb its showing
Prestige Worldwide
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LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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I agree but definitely nervous about the the potential for the storm to become amped too early
Nomanslandva
Member
You think CMC is so messy because it is so weak that it does not pull the cold in and not have the dynamics?
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2017-2023 Supporter
It’s messy because the shortwave is a lot stronger when it’s in plains compared to Euro and GFS
packfan98
Moderator
CMC backed off.
Euro says no.
Euro says no.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2017-2023 Supporter
Boy do I love when the low pressure runs right through mountains???
W
WSW
Guest
Still not bad for you guys but better further North on 81. This is gonna go back and forth.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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This would be the most nasty really heavy wet snow + sleet combo of all time. Guess I can’t really complain.
NCHighCountryWX
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Updated. 
accu35
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It’s been doing this back n forth lately, especially the Euro. 18z or 0z will show different
Long range modeling is just a progressive step up process of cutters that cut more 
Flotown
Member
good night..gonna try to chase this weekend but have no idea where to go...all over the place the models are
If we can get this late week system to amp up and move north there would be a nice mountain hit. Could be a nice chase
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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80% for an inch, i’ll take those odds
W
WSW
Guest
HAHA. I think you will end up with some good snow. Lots of runs left to go.
W
WSW
Guest
YES. 81 looks to get plastered...
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Where are you from MB?YES. 81 looks to get plastered...
W
WSW
Guest
Born in Leesburg, Loudoun County. Grew up in Lovettsville. Wayyy down south right now, but looking to move back to Virginia or West Virginia.
Flotown
Member
show that furthere west if you dont mind..thanks
W
WSW
Guest
I don't have access to that but hopefully Luke does.
Flotown
Member
its cool thanks
packfan98
Moderator
NCSNOW
Member
Lets just hope the southern stream keeps shooting us some energy day 10 -20. If so we will all be giddy.
Brent
Member
? still some really big ones here even with the north shifts on the op runs. Two nearing 20 inches 
NoSnowATL
Member
Mountains of West Virginia would be a good bet.
Flotown
Member
i know..been there but just too far right now
accu35
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If you gonna chase you have to travel. I’ve been doing it for 25+ years.
SimeonNC
Member
I'm in the process of convicing my family to take a weekend trip to Boone lol
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The is the first time all winter I’ve felt that a pattern legitimately has any real potential in the southern US.
I wouldn’t go crazy just yet, but the couple big storms beforehand lay down a nice, fresh white carpet for any would-be storm and likely cold shot. Looks like the kind of pattern that is capable of delivering the goods to a decent chunk of the board.
Curious to see where this ends up. We’re still mostly playing with house money in mid-Jan of a Nino winter
I wouldn’t go crazy just yet, but the couple big storms beforehand lay down a nice, fresh white carpet for any would-be storm and likely cold shot. Looks like the kind of pattern that is capable of delivering the goods to a decent chunk of the board.
Curious to see where this ends up. We’re still mostly playing with house money in mid-Jan of a Nino winter
Flotown
Member
oh ,ive done 11 hours but just cant do that for now