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Pattern Jammin January 2024

Some data on that chart seems wrong. I had 7" imby in the blizzard of 1993. I remember that well as I was managing a pizza delivery store that day and had to try and make deliveries in it, since none of our employees could make it in. I had a 4wd.

Even taken at face value the chart kind of reinforces what I said, it snowed regularly as a child in my area (which included ATH, ATL, and even Spartanburg, we had 3 houses). "Regularly" probably looks different for you if you grew up further north where even more frequent and bountiful snows happened.

We did sneak out a few inches in early 2022 here, but we haven't seen a decent snow since 1993, or maybe 2009.
Did you not get hit heavy in the January 2011 storm. A lot of northern GA had 5-10”. Despite ATL getting officially 4” at the airport, downtown had over 6”
 
Dallas, GA. Best record keeping anywhere in the W/NW metro, still missing five years of data, I'll add it in manually.

View attachment 139209

Missing Data:
2010-2011: 12.3"
2011-2012: No data or 0"
2012-2013: No data or 0"
2013-2014: 7.1"
2014-2015: 3.7"
2015-2016: .7"

Sum for 23 Seasons: 73.9" :eek:

Mean for past 23 seasons: 3.2" (Which is exactly what I presumed it was before calculations)

So if you live in the area below, your average annual snowfall is roughly 3".

View attachment 139211
That's always been a sweet spot when I was growing up. If any flurries were falling the news crews were in Marietta, and if we got flurries in midtown then Marietta got a dusting or more. If only one spot got some snow in Atl, it was Marietta. Gainesville north, or Cleveland north, then Marietta north, then to the Perimeter, lol. then Buckhead. I can't think of how many times your circled area was getting snow and I was getting skunked.
 
That's always been a sweet spot when I was growing up. If any flurries were falling the news crews were in Marietta, and if we got flurries in midtown then Marietta got a dusting or more. If only one spot got some snow in Atl, it was Marietta. Gainesville north, or Cleveland north, then Marietta north, then to the Perimeter, lol. then Buckhead. I can't think of how many times your circled area was getting snow and I was getting skunked.
Here is why:
1703734799528.png
 
That's always been a sweet spot when I was growing up. If any flurries were falling the news crews were in Marietta, and if we got flurries in midtown then Marietta got a dusting or more. If only one spot got some snow in Atl, it was Marietta. Gainesville north, or Cleveland north, then Marietta north, then to the Perimeter, lol. then Buckhead. I can't think of how many times your circled area was getting snow and I was getting skunked.
it seems like more times than not areas NW of Atlanta tend to get more snow than areas NE of Atlanta unless there's a wedge involved, and then areas NE get more.
 
One thing I think we're missing so far this year is any high pressure to our north wedging down giving us the lower layer cold we need. I never see any wedging signal on the ensembles. The air is just not cold enough. Even for next week, not sure where the cold feed is other than the general flow from southern Canada. Hopefully later in the month we can get a parade of high pressure to the north to match up well with the constant flow of southern storms that seem to be right where they need to be.

gfs-ens_mslpa_us_38.png


gfs-ens_T2m_us_38.png
 
One thing I think we're missing so far this year is any high pressure to our north wedging down giving us the lower layer cold we need. I never see any wedging signal on the ensembles. The air is just not cold enough. Even for next week, not sure where the cold feed is other than the general flow from southern Canada. Hopefully later in the month we can get a parade of high pressure to the north to match up well with the constant flow of southern storms that seem to be right where they need to be.

gfs-ens_mslpa_us_38.png


gfs-ens_T2m_us_38.png
I would expect as the -NAO develops and blocking over Greenland builds, we will start to see a better signal for CAD. If we do, there is still plenty of snow pack over southeast Canada with cold air to tap into.
 
I wonder how much snow they get at the highest elevations in N. Georgia?
Yeah, FFC doesn't care about that. You look over at GSP and they have observations at the top of Caesars Head, Mitchell, etc. FFC doesn't even record data for Marietta, its a joke. Blairsville is the only station with any substantial data, and I doubt the snowfall data is that accurate at 3.1" If I had to guess about Brasstown Bald based on observation (they have Axis Cameras up there), my best guess is 15-18" per year at 4700'. Quite honestly, the Cohutta's at 2500' to 4' probably do about as good. The Cohutta's are the mountains just east of Dalton, they actually get northwest flow because they sit about 2-3000' above the valley below. I would bet on them at least getting a dusting Saturday morning.
 
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