Pattern Jammin January 2024

[BIG FROSTY]

What a winter

View attachment 139479

Just wow! I know it's the 18z GFS @ 384 but it just don't get no uglier than that pic....

 

[WSW]

Just wow! I know it's the 18z GFS @ 384 but it just don't get no uglier than that pic....

It's gonna change.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Too early to know the solution with 1/7 system. In fact I see roughly 3-5 NC snows in the latest GEFS

 

[strongwxnc]

Too early to know the solution with 1/7 system. In fact I see roughly 3-5 NC snows in the latest GEFS

Sure is. 16 would be nice


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[Myfrotho704_]

Can this one just die already. Holy ----. It’s like the models slowly take it away then boom good run good trends. More members with snow outside the mountains Vs last run

 

[Stevo24]

Can this one just die already. Holy ----. It’s like the models slowly take it away then boom good run good trends. More members with snow outside the mountains Vs last run View attachment 139480View attachment 139481

I wish it die because the 8th is getting closer and closer. I’d rather it die now than a slow death next week.

 

[tennessee storm]

Yep. Pacific forcing will come back in late jan/early Feb

It's gonna change.

It change thousand times lol

 

[WSW]

 

[tennessee storm]

Only good thing is so far. I am getting some nice Eletric bills last two months. Lol. Lot Cheeper

 

[packfan98]

Can this one just die already. Holy ----. It’s like the models slowly take it away then boom good run good trends. More members with snow outside the mountains Vs last run View attachment 139480View attachment 139481

I didn’t see this coming.

 

[BullCityWx]

I thought it was dead after 12z but we’re back looking decent with 14/30 members showing something

 

[WSW]

 

[weatherfide]

View attachment 139484

Just like Webber said it would... nice. Hopefully, if his is right, it sets up NC and TN nicely for end of month. The more I study and read, the more convinced I am that the I-20 south crowd will be skunked this winter.

 

[WSW]

Just like Webber said it would... nice. Hopefully, if his is right, it sets up NC and TN nicely for end of month. The more I study and read, the more convinced I am that the I-20 south crowd will be skunked this winter.

Yeah, i wouldn't want to be further south this Winter.

 

[WSW]

Just like Webber said it would... nice. Hopefully, if his is right, it sets up NC and TN nicely for end of month. The more I study and read, the more convinced I am that the I-20 south crowd will be skunked this winter.

Hopefully i will be up in either Virginia or West Virginia within a couple of weeks.

 

[GoDuke]

Only good thing is so far. I am getting some nice Eletric bills last two months. Lol. Lot Cheeper

You must not have a mother in law visiting for the holidays from Florida who thinks she owns the place. Mine has hijacked the thermostat.

 

[weatherfide]

Hopefully i will be up in either Virginia or West Virginia within a couple of weeks.

If the snow gets within 100 miles of me, chasing is a good option.

 

[WSW]

If the snow gets within 100 miles of me, chasing is a good option.

Absolutely. I haven't seen snow in quite a while and i'm ready.

 

[WSW]

You must not have a mother in law visiting for the holidays from Florida who thinks she owns the place. Mine has hijacked the thermostat.

I noticed that older folks always want it too hot in the house.

 

[Brent]

View attachment 139484

No snow here. Next

 

[WSW]

No snow here. Next

Yeah i know. Just posted it for the guys further north. Probably gonna change anyway.

 

[Rain Cold]

#Snowpack2023, #JetExtension2022, #EAMT2021, #QBO2020, #Verbatim2019, #TNH018, #WarmPool2017, #SAI2016, #MJO2015, #Modoki2014

A decade of excellence

 

[SnowedIn1]

Just like Webber said it would... nice. Hopefully, if his is right, it sets up NC and TN nicely for end of month. The more I study and read, the more convinced I am that the I-20 south crowd will be skunked this winter.

I hope we can join the party!.....at some point.

 

[SnowNiner]

View attachment 139484

I do believe Snowshoe is going to have a great season. Every snow map always looks lit up there. If I weren't broke I'd go up. Skiing is expensive now.

 

[Flotown]

I do believe Snowshoe is going to have a great season. Every snow map always looks lit up there. If I weren't broke I'd go up. Skiing is expensive now.

go and dont ski...lol

 

[Flotown]

go and dont ski...lol

of course rooms are high,but been there and great snow

 

[LFCenc]

I’ll never forget the storm that January that the NWS and local mets got completely wrong for CLT metro. The 6pm news the night before everyone was predicting CLT metro to get mainly rain with snow mixed in at times. The only exception was WBTV who at the time Accuweather did their forecasts and was forecasting CLT to get 4-7”. Joe Bastardi was on WBT radio giving that forecast even with no watches or advisories for the area. By the 11pm newscast, the NWS office and local mets were having to scramble because it was very clear based on upstream obs their forecasts were going to bust badly.

I was 9 and living in Winston-Salem. It was the storm with “13 inches of flurries”, based on what the local mets were predicting there.

 

[Arcc]

What a winter

View attachment 139479

I have to admit I read that as “What a wiener.”

Well anywho…..

 

[accu35]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Icon suppressed the height field significantly lolz

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Icon suppressed the height field significantly lolz

Starting the 0Z suite off really nicely.

 

[LukeBarrette]

View attachment 139488

Much colder than the 12z run!!!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If we can get other models to latch on to this, something to watch. That TPV above the lakes sinking south would be a far better setup then relying on the mid week phaser

 

[KyloG]

We’ve been ICONd.

 

[SD]

We’ve been ICONd.

View attachment 139491

And it has a warm bias!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

?

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

And it has a warm bias!

It sure does, especially at 2m

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

We’ve been ICONd.

View attachment 139491

That put a little more of central NC in play on that run

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[weatherfide]

That put a little more of central NC in play on that run

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This is encouraging. 12Z CFS also had a similar look to the ICON. Also, at least two of the GFS 18z ensemble members showed a similar output for NC. Could be an interesting possibility for NC. Might be too far for a chase for me, though, but I'm watching.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

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