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Pattern Jammin January 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Love the avatar… I still haven’t gotten over the “Groundhogzilla” storm that broke our hearts a few years back. It reminded me that there is no sure thing when it comes to winter weather in the south.
Hopefully many of us can cash in over the next 7-8 weeks. January appears to have potential. My fingers are crossed for Thursday-Friday this week!
tennessee storm
Member
Hint, wasn’t good. But that’s the gfs for u
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Midwest will cash in before you do sadly
Twister
Member
Who cares what the Midwest gets? Were in the South!
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CFS from overnight was not horrible for the next few weeks. No fantasy storms for eastern areas. I-40 folks from Memphis westward had some good outcomes. Almost a la nina look. But the cold was there and with a little wiggling something good could materialize (for more of us). Below is day 19 as an example. CFS is not good with CAD. In a setup like this, there would probably be a more pronounced (colder) CAD. But again the details at this range are useless. We just need a favorable pattern showing.
Then to be fair, the last 10 days of the run did look horrible. But, just wait until the 12z run and it could be totally opposite.
Then to be fair, the last 10 days of the run did look horrible. But, just wait until the 12z run and it could be totally opposite.
The plot twist lives on in another episode of As The Vortex Turns.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
You probably should considering that most every arctic air mass that moves into the southern US usually goes thru there at some point in time
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Western trough with -NAO is usually when the Midwest rakes in the snow. Not my problem if you don’t like it, that’s just a fact.
The exceptions to this favorability usually occur when the snowpack is deep and extensive over the conus (e.g. Mar 1960). We are obviously a very long ways off from that
The exceptions to this favorability usually occur when the snowpack is deep and extensive over the conus (e.g. Mar 1960). We are obviously a very long ways off from that
Meh
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
384 hr gfs. ?
NCSNOW
Member
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They already have. Big blizzard past couple days.
Need western canada to whiten up and the lakes
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Most of Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Illinois is still barren as is the entirety of the Great Lakes.
tennessee storm
Member
Be honest with you , this is about as bad I have seen this kind of lack of snow cover up there. Almost scary. This late in December
mydoortotheworld
Member
I hate to be that guy, and I’m not saying for certain this is directly correlated, someone with a much better understanding (and degreed) in this field can correct me, but this barren of snow cover over the eastern seaboard feels unsurprising given how anomalously warm 2023 has been, as well as the record Atlantic temps
lexxnchloe
Member
If only there was just a little cold air around. Perfect track, strong low, north winds and rain in January.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Huge differences with GFS and Canadian over Jan 2 system
NCSNOW
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Yep, cant draw it up any better. Puking snow above our heads on Jan 1, peak climo. And its a furnace lower 3000ft. Storm track with these 850s in peak climo is dreamworthy. Rarely have it line up like this. Why super el ninos suck for winter wx lovers. Pac firehose surface air wall to wallIf only there was just a little cold air around. Perfect track, strong low, north winds and rain in January.