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Pattern Jammin January 2024

griteater said:
Euro control tucked a bunch of blue stuff up under a strong block. That's the move we need to see post cutter

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What is the euro control showing for wintry precip?
 
tennessee storm said:
Always at the end …lol. But that is getting closer to a timeframe for more favorable colder air coming down. We see that holds
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Noted. But that's all three major models with ensemble support. Finally, legit cold does seem to be around the corner.
 
12z EMCF was pretty close for N Ga. Just off of the course TTB maps, thermals would have probably worked out for the ATL area if the precip shield was a bit further north. ? on this little system.
 
BullCityWx said:
EPS looks cold after day ten.
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This is good because they say the EPS has the best verification scores. If it was the GEFS, I would expect it to waffle around back to warm. But because we're laying snowpack and because we're moving into the favored time frame and because it's the EPS, we can probably start to breathe easy now.
 
Rain Cold said:
This is good because they say the EPS has the best verification scores. If it was the GEFS, I would expect it to waffle around back to warm. But because we're laying snowpack and because we're moving into the favored time frame and because it's the EPS, we can probably start to breathe easy now.
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EPS has remained the most steady with the progression East also while the GEFS has wobbled back and forth.
 
Rain Cold said:
This is good because they say the EPS has the best verification scores. If it was the GEFS, I would expect it to waffle around back to warm. But because we're laying snowpack and because we're moving into the favored time frame and because it's the EPS, we can probably start to breathe easy now.
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Ok
 
12z EPS shows the cold air moving East with a reinforcing shot brewing in Canada at Day 10. Past day 10, it shows the entire lower 48 below average temperature wise.. In mid January. Long range models sniffed out the Western trough back in the 300s as far as hours out & hasn't let up since. Now we see how far East it gets as this will be a cross polar flow instead of what we are seeing right now temperature wise. A true cold air source.
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Mitch West said:
12z EPS shows the cold air moving East with a reinforcing shot brewing in Canada at Day 10. Past day 10, it shows the entire lower 48 below average temperature wise.. In mid January. Long range models sniffed out the Western trough back in the 300s as far as hours out & hasn't let up since. Now we see how far East it gets as this will be a cross polar flow instead of what we are seeing right now temperature wise. A true cold air source.
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Burn Alaska, burn!
 
GoDuke said:
You must not have a mother in law visiting for the holidays from Florida who thinks she owns the place. Mine has hijacked the thermostat.
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I went back to San Diego one Christmas and the high was 60 and everybody was in huge jackets and hoodies like it was 20 below. I think it was in 2010 when the highs in Nashville were barely hitting the 20s for a few days. They say the air has bite in it at night when the lows hit 45 ?
 
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