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Pattern Jammin January 2023
- Thread starter Goose88
- Start date
KATL is currently sitting at +11.3F above the new January average thus far with the GFS forecasting below. This has essentially been March for all intense and purpose. Calculating these forecasted, temperatures KATL would be just a shade under +10 for the month, making a solid run at first, if not the second warmest January on record. Also, no lows at or below freezing, I'm sure that would be a first. At least we're getting plenty of rain.
LickWx
Member
Saw some trees inside Raleigh blooming . Thought it was only a UHI thing till I saw a tree in Zebulon blooming. Bradfords in Raleigh are bud heavy too.
Enjoy y'all's false spring fellas.
ATLwxfan
Member
A shot at getting to 32° this weekend. After that it’s smooth sailing through this month. With the potential for a more traditional Nina in February we may be in for a record stretch without a freeze.
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Love that streamer right over my house. Maybe with a more NNW fetch Lookout Mtn will leave us a few flakes.
and that’s exactly what I was thinking…. major ice/sleet across the south and into the Mid-Atlantic while Florida was baking in record heat
Trends for the D10ish system
In the end it's probably rain for must of us but we are really lowering heights in the east and shifting the sfc low track SE. We'd need help from the D7 system to really go bonkers or something currently not modeled to sneak through in the fast northern stream type flow to establish marginal enough cold but it's worth keeping an eye on
Went from rooting for a 50/50 low, to getting my first January lightning shot from this system. SE weather never disappoints 
Velocities look impressive with this line coming through soon.. waiting to see some mping reports for a little more validation
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
2.6 inches from todays event. Now it’s really game time!
buckinbronco
Member
HRRR trying to suck me in…must resisttttt
00z HRRR continues to try and develop stuff over central and eastern NC .. it’s been developing some sort of banding feature over us and don’t really know what’s causing it? Any thoughts from some degreed mets? 
Ya have to like the enhancement over northern Alabama and Georgia late afternoon and evening being depicted by the 00Z HRRR. Probably a little too warm in S. Carolina though.
It wouldn't surprise me one bit if some of these convective cells bring down some gusty winds and a few brief snow squalls especially in the higher elevations where it'll be quite windy.
It wouldn't surprise me one bit if some of these convective cells bring down some gusty winds and a few brief snow squalls especially in the higher elevations where it'll be quite windy.
I'm in a bad geographic spot for NW flow snow showers. Regardless, I'm sitting here wondering if should I have coffee or beer while sitting out on the front porch tomorrow late.
Not saying that this is a repeat, but this set up reminds me very much of this little system from February 2009. Models were picking up on the dynamics, but not the precip output until about 6 hours or so out. This basically fell from about 9pm to 3am overnight and surface temperatures were in the mid to upper 40s as precip started and just crashed to around freezing very quickly.
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Parker
Member
Live from Gatlinburg!! We made it in about an hour and my son puked his guts out about 5 minutes from the place. These roads will definitely make you car sick! Will keep y’all posted!
Flotown
Member
see those returns here in nw bama but history tells me that it will all be in northeast bama ,we barely ever get much out of this unless this setup is a little different