Pattern Jammin January 2023

[Myfrotho704_]

If you’re headed to the mountains (like me) next weekend, forget the 50/50. What we want to see, is higher heights behind the storm, the more digging, the more amplification the upper level low is gonna get, the more energy we dump into the shortwave, the heavier/longer lasting the Nw flow snow could be and a deeper ULL, which would pull in more CAA. But Even the high country starts out as rain at first, but would eventually switch over to snow.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

FWIW, the GFS has trended all day toward a phase off the NE coast. 00Z didn't quite get it done, but it was really pretty close to blowing up the much-needed 50/50 low on day 5.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

You just don’t see that every day

 

[Tarheel1]

0Z Euro??

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

6Z GFS, major ice storm for CAD region.

 

[Tarheel1]

Ooof, doink, fail tuba! This Western Trough pattern has been relentless this winter, sans about 2 weeks! Looks like January is toast!

 

[bigstick10]

6Z GFS, major ice storm for CAD region.

View attachment 129640

That is not exactly a true CAD

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Ooof, doink, fail tuba! This Western Trough pattern has been relentless this winter, sans about 2 weeks! Looks like January is toast! View attachment 129642

Man. if Robert is giving up on it you know we're in a sad state, he doesn't throw the towel until he's alone in the building and the lights have been turned off.

 

[Somosdel]

Man. if Robert is giving up on it you know we're in a sad state, he doesn't throw the towel until he's alone in the building and the lights have been turned off.

6z GFS had a big cold shot in the 300-384 hr window. There’s hope.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That is not exactly a true CAD

You just troll at this point

 

[Myfrotho704_]

06z EPS looking better, esp on the onset for the mountains. Colder mid levels, would have probably boded well for later, hey @SD if there’s support at 12z still for the mountains can I make a mountain storm thread, since there’s so many people going next weekend ?

 

[SD]

6z GFS had a big cold shot in the 300-384 hr window. There’s hope.

Eps isn't cold but h5 is going where your want to see it

 

[POWERSTROKE]

Eps isn't cold but h5 is going where your want to see itView attachment 129644

Gfs is always right if predicting rain. Rarely on anything else

 

[SNOWMANN]

Not how I wanted peak climo to go this year. But hey on the bright side next year will be a nino and I prefer that over these Nina's.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This was a few small ticks from being all snow along the TN NC border. Need a little more favorable transfer and oof

 

[LukeBarrette]

I wouldn’t be home for this…

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yeah that ain’t ideal lol

 

[Snownut]

This was a few small ticks from being all snow along the TN NC border. Need a little more favorable transfer and oofView attachment 129646

Why is GFS showing that much snow outside of the mountains even across upstate? Nothing is really showing snow, if anything it looks like ice across upper upstate

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Why is GFS showing that much snow outside of the mountains even across upstate? Nothing is really showing snow, if anything it looks like ice across upper upstate

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Upstate gonna blank with this one. I’m an idiot though so don’t listen to me. But they’re going to blank

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Why is GFS showing that much snow outside of the mountains even across upstate? Nothing is really showing snow, if anything it looks like ice across upper upstate

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It shows ice as snow accumulation in its algorithm .. don’t expect anything in the upstate .. no 50/50 means no fun