Pattern Jammin January 2023

[LukeBarrette]

Wrf

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RDPS


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Maybe I can sneak out some flakes??

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

As a matter of fact Charlotte has did it 18 times. A trace is a snowless winter in my book.
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I am in the same camp, a trace is not an event; I need at least some accumulation, enough to see things white and run around in a little; at least a healthy dusting. GSP has 15 such years with only a trace recorded plus 2011-2012, the only year ever without a trace. Even AVL has two years with only a trace recorded and so far this year has not recorded a trace. Not looking good this year but still a long ways to go, keeping fingers crossed!

 

[Stevo24]

Time for the models to trend back to the 50/50 low let’s do this!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

1044 feeder high. Strongest I think this has been modeled so far. Let’s see if our mountain folk can cash in here. Hard to imagine a scenario where they don’t.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFS out to 144 and @Tarheel1 is dealing with a wet chair. Might have to bring it inside for this one.

 

[SD]

Things that probably aren't working out for most of us

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

This GFS run only about 7-9 degrees colder in NC lol

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

It really is a shame because that high pressure is beautiful. It’s what you pray for every year. Yet here we are about to get rained on again.

 

[SD]

It really is a shame because that high pressure is beautiful. It’s what you pray for every year. Yet here we are about to get rained on again. View attachment 129619

It probably snows on the back of that look at least

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

@accu35 deluxe

 

[Stevo24]

It really is a shame because that high pressure is beautiful. It’s what you pray for every year. Yet here we are about to get rained on again. View attachment 129619

What’s the issue preventing this from working?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC is hours and hours and hours of NW flow snow across the high country

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

It probably snows on the back of that look at least

The thing that sucks is these things always model that backend wheel of moisture way far south and as it gets closer it turns out there’s no backend moisture except for flurries in Winterplace WV

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Good trends so far tonight on the 0Z suite. Much needed.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

What’s the issue preventing this from working?

?

 

[SD]

What’s the issue preventing this from working?

25-30 degrees

 

[Myfrotho704_]

NC mountains getting smoked on runs tonight. Pants explosion. Hard to know where I’m going but Boone/Gatlinburg is calling my name

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

NC mountains getting smoked on runs tonight. Pants explosion. Hard to know where I’m going but Boone/Gatlinburg is calling my name View attachment 129624View attachment 129625View attachment 129623

Banner elk may be your best bet. Western part of Avery county. Boone only around 3.5 inches on this run.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

NC mountains getting smoked on runs tonight. Pants explosion. Hard to know where I’m going but Boone/Gatlinburg is calling my name View attachment 129624View attachment 129625View attachment 129623

Yes there would be an ungodly amount of NW flow snow with this. Hard to beat higher elevations in Avery county when it comes these

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

As I expected were trending towards more of a severe threat ? low cape high shear stuff. Could be a windy cold rain!