I agree with this mostly..but where were you living in 2011-2012? GSP did it. Went the entire winter without a flake or sleet pellet. I'm sure there have been many with just a trace. It certainly has been a dozen or so of those at CLT and RDU. A trace counts in the books but isn't accumulating winter precip. There have been many complete duds like that and it'll happen again sooner or later.This is what I describe as the "Back 2 the Future" syndrome.
One minor thing changes everything,
And the entirety looks completely different afterwards.
Ur prior post is why I'll never punt an entire month nor even 2 weeks,
No matter what modeling & or analogs show.
No matter how consistent it's being shown.
If u live in region such as I who have never gone a entire winter without at least 1 minor event. (52 years & counting)
Then I highly doubt this is going to be the year u see nothing.