Pattern Jammin January 2023

[BullCityWx]

Canadian went to Chicagoland and then transferred.

It transferred to Louisville but it transferred

 

[LukeBarrette]

Awesome

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

CMC missed the confluence completely and therefor it sharted on all of us. Listen we got a long way to go with this one but if you miss confluence in 50/50 land forget about anything positive happening winter weather wise. When everything has to come together in a nice neat bow 200 hours out it’s probably best to pump the breaks on high hopes for winter weather. Lots of fail out potentials here

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

lol

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Massive ULL in the heart of winter and can’t do a damn thing with it

 

[NoSnowATL]

Massive ULL in the heart of winter and can’t do a damn thing with it View attachment 129423

I wouldn't say that, we might have a flooding thread out of it.

 

[CaryWx]

Let's see how the euro handles this still. Been fairly consistent but may break today.

 

[weatherfide]

The GEFS looks terrible for snow chances over the next 10 days for anyone south of Kentucky. There are maybe three low placements in the southeast at 180 hours and they are all 100% rain. There is just no source for significant cold air and the mean storm track is through the midwest. It looks like October. I think we need to let this one go. Maybe it gets better the week of the 20th through 27th? Maybe it will be the last chance?

 

[NoSnowATL]

The clock is ticking

 

[griteater]

UKMet with a ray of light amidst a sea of darkness and despair

 

[Metwannabe]

UKMet with a ray of light amidst a sea of darkness and despair

Ukie fired first warning shots to burst our arctic snow potential bubble, so seeing this is good

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

UKMet with a ray of light amidst a sea of darkness and despair

That’s a textbook look, if euro agrees then we have a threat.

 

[Webberweather53]

This looks good

 

[rburrel2]

180hr ICON panels look really good too. We really only lost the CMC today with the 12z modeling. If the Euro holds we are still in the game for a CAD winter storm.

 

[rburrel2]

That's a major incoming Wedge ice/mixed bag storm for CAD area's.

 

[olhausen]

Anyone else get colder than forecasted this morning? It was supposed to be anywhere from 38-35 Degrees but the actual low temp was 31 here this morning. I’ll take it during this dumpster fire pattern we are in. Of course the high was supposed to be 48 and I’m already at 50. ?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

That's a major incoming Wedge ice/mixed bag storm for CAD area's.View attachment 129431View attachment 129432

Verbatim this is too warm. It’s maybe onset ice for the mountains. High is retreating and north of where we ideally want it while our storm still has 12-24 hours until it moves in. This run would probably look similar to the 12z GFS if it kept up

 

[rburrel2]

Verbatim this is too warm. It’s maybe onset ice for the mountains. High is retreating and north of where we ideally want it while our storm still has 12-24 hours until it moves in. This run would probably look similar to the 12z GFS if it kept up

Um, No....


o

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Ukie fired first warning shots to burst our arctic snow potential bubble, so seeing this is good

Yep certainly love to see the ukie on the right side where we want it. Hopefully euro follows suit. Then we can discard the bad gfs and usually wild swinging cmc and icon

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Verbatim this is too warm. It’s maybe onset ice for the mountains. High is retreating and north of where we ideally want it while our storm still has 12-24 hours until it moves in. This run would probably look similar to the 12z GFS if it kept up

And the ICON is always too warm on the surface. Been a known bias since the models birth.