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Tropical Hurricane Zeta
- Thread starter Henry2326
- Start date
Here we go.
WELL THAT AINT GOOD. SEEMS LIKE THEY ARE GOING GFS/NAM ON THAT THINKING
Latest HWRF is off the rails. After hitting LA as almost a MH, it does this through AL.
Jrips2710
Member
For the Alabama folks
HMON not as crazy as the WRF but trending stronger across AL.
Jessy89
Member
The west trend we’ve seen is good for the Carolinas
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Claycochaser
Member
This is no good sir.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Avalanche
Member
Will this system send a squall line through the Carolinas as it rides up central TN?
The latest forecast track from the NHC actually has the center moving NE out of AL over north GA and basically right over the NC mountains. If it follows most Gulf TCs then there should be a line of heavy thunderstorms to the east and southeast of that center. Also by this point the storm could be getting infused with energy from the trough diving making it more extra tropical.
Jrips2710
Member
Still some pretty significant timing differences between the EURO/UKMET camp and the GFS. With that being said I’d probably bet on a corridor of 50-60mph gusts moving up the 85 corridor into the Atlanta metro area barring a change in track.
Jessy89
Member
That wind field is really expansive and south east of the center not right at the center. Still without being that close to the center Georgia and western Carolinas look windy
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Well keep in mind that the center at that point is actually over northern GA/ se TN, so it’s still fairly close by. Also you can see the jet stream starting to dive into the sw of Zeta’s center... which is converting it to extra tropical which in turn should expand the wind field to the east of southeast
That wind field is really expansive and south east of the center not right at the center. Still without being that close to the center Georgia and western Carolinas look windy
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gawxnative
Member
IMO to put into perspective the overall "feel" of Zeta is looking to be more in line with the impacts of Opal, rather than Irma for the Atlanta Metro. the path will of course be more SW to NE but Opal was a fast mover once landfall came and the wind impacts were both shorter term (6-8 hour) but much more "focused" to the right of center. As of know my call would be roughly 75 miles either side of I 85 to be the "hot spot" for wind damage
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Spann says he doesn't expect any widespread tree damage. Possibly gusts up to 40-45.
All depends on the strength. If this ramps up and has 100kts at 850mb, some of that higher wind will mix down in heavy precipitation.
WXinCanton
Member
I’d say if you’re with in 75 miles of I-85 through AL, GA, and the Carolina’s (probably not quite 75 miles in the Carolinas, I’d say 40 or so) you’re going to be looking at some substantial tree damage. I don’t think the Carolinas miss out due to the trough interaction, that should keep things quite gusty especially along 85.
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Philstorm91
Member
At this point I'm just kind of numb. Just bring Zeta on through already. Let's get this over with. A little wind, some rain. At least this one will be moving quickly up the I-59 corridor. And cool air is waiting on the other side of the storm tomorrow night.