Tropical Hurricane Zeta

[Myfrotho704_]

Soundings are just so blah around here. Meager lapse rates, low cape just not enough to really get much going. Probably a good thing this isn't a few weeks ago where we could generate more sb instabilityView attachment 51061

Yeah that’s some awful cape, interesting thing tho is that the gfs moves the TC out in time for the next main system to move thru with its own severe, it’s kinda by itself with that solution however, looks like this TC may possibly save us from a more high end severe event by contaminating the warm sector with putrid lapse rates, clouds and rain

 

[ForsythSnow]

Holy crap. Power definitely out.

Edit: This is 850mb so everyone knows, but that is still high wind gusts at the surface.

View attachment 51068

This is the next frame for Georgia. Absolutely terrifying 100 knot winds blowing around aloft. Some of those gusts would easily be around 70 or 80 mph if that verified. I doubt it will but I don't like seeing insane winds from other models outside the Euro.

 

[SETNwx]

Mountains in N Ga, Western Carolina are gonna get Opal-ed again...

 

[Jessy89]

Mountains in N Ga, Western Carolina are gonna get Opal-ed again...

Remind me what did opel do?


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[NewnanWetather]

Remind me what did opel do?


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I lived through Opal and it was awful. Winds got up above 60 in many parts of West Ga. I could easily see something similar happening this time.

 

[SETNwx]

Remind me what did opel do?


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It caused a lot of mountain wind damage.

 

[Snow_chaser]

Wasn’t opal moving so fast that she was still a hurricane in Atlanta area? Can’t remember, but remember trees down and power out in Kennesaw

 

[EmersonGA]

Remind me what did opel do?


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I’ve never seen so many limbs down so quick. It was like one massive low grade tornado and the power stayed out for a long time.

 

[NoSnowJoe]

Wasn’t opal moving so fast that she was still a hurricane in Atlanta area? Can’t remember, but remember trees down and power out in Kennesaw

My sister And her family lived in rural Meriweather County and they were without power for 6 weeks, crazy.

 

[NewnanWetather]

Wasn’t opal moving so fast that she was still a hurricane in Atlanta area? Can’t remember, but remember trees down and power out in Kennesaw

Yes some areas did see hurricane winds.

 

[Brent]

Yes some areas did see hurricane winds.

Yeah Opal was horrible we were in East Alabama then west of Lagrange and I had never seen wind like that before

I was only 7 but there were so many trees and power lines down I can still remember it

 

[Arcc]

Yeah Opal was horrible we were in East Alabama then west of Lagrange and I had never seen wind like that before

I was only 7 but there were so many trees and power lines down I can still remember it

Absolutely. The roar of the wind that night and the widespread tree damage is un-rivaled in my lifetime in this area.

 

[JHS]

We had better hope this thing does not get any stronger than forecast or we may be looking at a real problem. Like ATL with Opal or maybe CLT with Hugo. This storm will be racing once it is inland. As it is, the I-85 corridor may or may not be in for a rough time but it looks almost like a slam dunk above about 1000 feet in GA and both Carolinas. Of course if this storm goes crazy then all bets are off.

 

[ForsythSnow]

I doubt we see an Opal just due to it being a weaker storm. I do expect winds here to be shorter than what we had back with Irma but slightly less intense.

 

[Arcc]

This is the next frame for Georgia. Absolutely terrifying 100 knot winds blowing around aloft. Some of those gusts would easily be around 70 or 80 mph if that verified. I doubt it will but I don't like seeing insane winds from other models outside the Euro.
View attachment 51071

Keeping that East and NE eyewall band is highly reminiscent of Opal. With the trees still having leaves and the over performing system this past weekend, that is a devastating look.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Keeping that East and NE eyewall band is highly reminiscent of Opal. With the trees still having leaves and the over performing system this past weekend, that is a devastating look.

We will have to keep track of how strong Zeta gets in the gulf. That will ultimately determine if we see something that severe. If the eyewall portion remains it'll likely be moderate TS winds though AL and weak TS into GA.

 

[Brent]

Yeah to be fair Opal was a Cat 3 at landfall(scarily enough it had weakened from almost a 5 the day before)

We'll see how strong Zeta gets

 

[Jessy89]

This one could approach borderline cat 2. 100mph would be the ceiling I think


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[PEA_RIDGE]

10PM PACKET

 

[ontherocks]

I doubt we see an Opal just due to it being a weaker storm. I do expect winds here to be shorter than what we had back with Irma but slightly less intense.

In was just about to ask about it’s comparison to Irma in regards to winds. From what I remember it was the strong pressure gradient created and less the “power from the storm” that brought the wind show up here. But actual seems like maybe a somewhat similar setup....? UNG clocked a 90+ gust during Irma. Not really hoping for a repeat of that.....