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Tropical Hurricane Zeta

Arcc said:
And the HWRF continues to go bonkers(18z HMON is a good bit weaker). HWRF is Cat 2-3 at landfall and may need inland hurricane warnings close to BHM. Elevated regions like Cheaha would be devastated.

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I REALLY SEE THIS AS BEING "CRAZY" .. THE HWRF HAS DONE EXCEPTIONALLY WELL WITH JUST ABOUT EVERY STORM THIS YEAR. DO I THINK IT POSSIBLE ABSOLUTELY, DO THINK IT WILL HAPPEN?. I DOUBT IT BUT IT IS 2020 AND ANYTHING GOES
 
Spann changing his tune
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Jessy89 said:
That’s what I’m wondering. If I had to guess right now I’d say probably not. Most likely a wind advisory or high wind warning. Gsp hasn’t issued tropical storm watches for upstate sc since I believe Hugo I could be wrong though


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GSP actually issued Tropical Storm Warnings for York and Cherokee counties in SC along with Gaston, Mecklenburg, Union, and Cabarrus counties in NC for Hurricane Michael in 2018. However it wasn’t until the storm was actually well into east central GA and still a strong cat 1.
 
Something I noticed on almost every model. It has the strongest winds south east of the center. Even though the center maybe 50-75 miles from some people. They could see stronger winds then they would being right under the center. Is because it’s lopsided?


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Jessy89 said:
Something I noticed on almost every model. It has the strongest winds south east of the center. Even though the center maybe 50-75 miles from some people. They could see stronger winds then they would being right under the center. Is because it’s lopsided?


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I believe that is a factor of the rapid speed of the system that will enhance the winds to the right of the center (wind speed + forward speed of system) where near center you will be dealing with only the "true" wind speed. You can see this with fast moving QLCS systems also
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Haven’t seen stuff like this around CLT since the sting jet with Michael, overdone likely but still, wow View attachment 51169View attachment 51170View attachment 51171View attachment 51172
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It might not be overdone by much. I remember the day before Michael came through here how a lot of local mets were dismissing the models that were showing wind gusts of 60-70 mph. CLT ended up having a max gust of 62mph I think and my home weather station recorded a max gust of 67mph which was the strongest I had experienced since Hugo.
 
NOW IF THOSE HOT TOWERS CAN FINALLY WRAP UP I THINK THIS THING MAY FOR A SHOT FOR A HIGH END 1 OR LOW END CAT 2Capture.JPG
 
MSnowAtl said:
Praying for a miracle for Atlanta. 60 to 75 mph gust! Wow!!!
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YEA IM NOT LOOKING FORWARD IN MY NECK OF THE WOODS IN BAMA AS WELL.. SUSTAINED AT 35-40 AND GUST UP TO 50+.. IM IN THE WOODS AND THAT MEANS ME CUTTING TREES UP FOR HOURS ON END
 
Forecasting 100 mph before landfall

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT ZETA IS
STRENGTHENING...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BEGINNING AROUND MIDDAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 91.8W
ABOUT 320 MI...520 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
 
GaWx said:
Though it may be a little too low, FFC NWS map of highest gusts for ATL metro of 35-40 looks more likely to verify to me than the map posted here on the previous page that Ella Dorsey put out, that has gusts way up into the 50s and 60s, which would be similar to Opal. I experienced Opal and it was very bad. I’m not trying to minimize the 35-40 as that would be plenty enough for dangerous falling trees/limbs as well as lots of power outages. But I just think the Opal like 50s to 60s seems a bit much and may be based on models that tend to overdo these. Similar to Opal, Zeta will be moving very rapidly and likely even faster. That’s bad news as that will prevent that much weakening of the storm by the time it gets to the area. And there is the concern about extratropical energy being added. But remember that Opal was a cat 3 H when it made landfall and was still a cat 1 H when it was well up into AL. Zeta is expected to be only a cat 1 H at landfall and will weaken somewhat when going inland.
Make no mistake, this will be a big wx event though.

My forecast is for highest KATL wind gusts to be near 45, which is higher than the NWS’ 35-40 but lower than Ella Dorsey’s 54. There will be many trees and large limbs down along with lots of outages.

Any other predictions for KATL?

Edit: Now if Zeta landfalls as a cat 2 instead of cat1, then it may be close to an Opal for ATL.
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And now it looks with the overnight strengthening along with a cat 2 peak instead of cat 1 like Zeta has a good chance to landfall as a cat 2. Therefore, as per what i stated in the "edit" line yesterday, Zeta may very well be another Opal for ATL and vicinity. :eek:
 
GaWx said:
And now it looks with the overnight strengthening along with a cat 2 peak instead of cat 1 like Zeta has a good chance to landfall as a cat 2. Therefore, as per what i stated in the "edit" line yesterday, Zeta may very well be another Opal for ATL and vicinity. :eek:
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And FFC has expanded the Tropical Storm Watch for a row of 2-3 counties to the east/southeast of the current watch. To include Athens, Monroe, McDonough area roughly
 
CLOUD TOPS REALLY STARTING TO COOL DOWN AND FINALLY FORM A CIRCLE AROUND THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. NOW THAT EYE NEEDS TO CLEAR OUT AND ITS BOOM TIME THEN
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AND THE WIND FIELD IS EXPANDING PER LATEST RECON OBS.
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