Tropical Hurricane Sally Inland Effects

[Jessy89]

It’s not just sally it’s a front to. Both are playmakers between the front and sally will be heavy rain.


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[wxdaniel]

0z NAM sticking to its guns. A non event north of I-20 in the Carolinas. Some of upstate SC under .05 out of it. The slower movement right now says the NAM will be right about this track. I expect the Euro and GFS to go way south tonight or early tomorrow. If this does miss the next 2 weeks look dry so drought will become the big story north of I-20.

I don’t think Euro or GFS has went south yet....


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[Snowflowxxl]

3-5 inches for most of N GA is what I’m going with.

 

[SD]

I don’t think Euro or GFS has went south yet....


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If anything they are inching north

 

[WXinCanton]

3-5 inches for most of N GA is what I’m going with.

That's what I'm thinking as well. Let's see how it unfolds.

 

[wxdaniel]

3-5 inches for most of N GA is what I’m going with.

That is a good prediction.


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[BirdManDoomW]

I’m thinking this still goes south. I don’t we done have a lot of posters from the Ashe County NC area into the New River area of Virginia but I wouldn’t be surprised if dry cold air eats away at the northern shield of rain. I think 1-2” will be common for many tho esp south of i40 with higher amounts over Georgia and South Carolina.

 

[tramadoc]

CMC would be widespread severe for all Carolinas and heavy rain even into central Tennessee. Seems out to lunch...I’m favoring a sharp gradient across NC with very little up this way to 3” near Charlotte.

Really? You’re not expecting the apocalypse from rain in Wilkes County? Color me surprised at this reaction. You been hanging around Blue Footed Boobies?

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[tramadoc]

Haha I don't really get all the hand-wringing over the NAM all the time. Next to the JMA, it might be the worst model ever invented. I'll give it some credence when it it shows a warm nose, but that's about it.

DGEX

 

[Ollie Williams]

I don't think anybody has really touched on this, but there are some gusty winds well into the SE.

 

[BufordWX]

I don't think anybody has really touched on this, but there are some gusty winds well into the SE. View attachment 48642View attachment 48643

Doesn’t the Euro/Nam typically overdo the wind threat inland?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Doesn’t the Euro/Nam typically overdo the wind threat inland?

Good point, although even with the more bearish solutions, Alabama should get some good wind.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Doesn’t the Euro/Nam typically overdo the wind threat inland?

Yes, the key is always to cut by 50%. It’s always overdone around here.

 

[Rain Cold]

Yes, the key is always to cut by 50%.

That's just the first pass. Several more trimmings will need to be done to get the final numbers. ?

 

[SD]

If the 3k is right thats a legit tor threat for east Ga most of SC and a good part of south central and south east nc

 

[SD]

Even if the southward tracking Euro were to be correct the tor threat is pretty solid for eastern Ga into the midlands.

 

[J.C.]

12km NAM finally came around:

00z

12z

 

[Ollie Williams]

lol, Rocksboro.

 

[Tarheel1]

Haha I don't really get all the hand-wringing over the NAM all the time. Next to the JMA, it might be the worst model ever invented. I'll give it some credence when it it shows a warm nose, but that's about it.

Even worse than Deep thunder, or DGEX?
Anywho, I think the 8” lollipops over GSP and CLT, are waaaay overblown on the Euro! I think widespread 2-4” is a good bet