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Hurricane Sally Inland Effects

LithiaWx

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If we get 6-9in we know I-20 will flood in areas, 85 ITP will along with all these backroads in our parts. We have a ton of all small bridges that can flood with that much water. Traffic will be horrible Thursday night and Friday morning. I-20 near 6 flags is where I’ll look for flooding. I remember that one September flood a few years back where that whole HWY was shut down due to flooding.
I’m 2 miles from there. Sweetwater creek floods easily there but the storm you are talking about was epic.
 

Rain Cold

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I may end up being right after all. May be a non event for many of us. Other models will probably shift way south tonight. The GFS is bone dry after this right through day 16 too so if this does miss we are headed into a drought. May get a taste of what CAL, ORE and WASH are going through with the fires. A repeat of 2016.
This is ridiculous. Come on man.
 

iGRXY

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I may end up being right after all. May be a non event for many of us. Other models will probably shift way south tonight. The GFS is bone dry after this right through day 16 too so if this does miss we are headed into a drought. May get a taste of what CAL, ORE and WASH are going through with the fires. A repeat of 2016.
Death, Taxes, and you making drought comments that are wrong 98% of the time.
 

Sleet City USA

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I may end up being right after all. May be a non event for many of us. Other models will probably shift way south tonight. The GFS is bone dry after this right through day 16 too so if this does miss we are headed into a drought. May get a taste of what CAL, ORE and WASH are going through with the fires. A repeat of 2016.
This is just downright disrespectful and insensitive. “May get a taste of what CAL, ORE and WASH are going through”
Come on man. Immense loss of life and property. Unbelievable, your stupid trolling has reached its limit
 

Tarheel1

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I may end up being right after all. May be a non event for many of us. Other models will probably shift way south tonight. The GFS is bone dry after this right through day 16 too so if this does miss we are headed into a drought. May get a taste of what CAL, ORE and WASH are going through with the fires. A repeat of 2016.
I think dry for 2-3 weeks will be ok, after 4-10” of rain!🤣😉
 

ryan1234

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I think dry for 2-3 weeks will be ok, after 4-10” of rain!🤣😉
Meh, no point. JHS could have his house submerged in 10 ft of water and he will still be calling for Western drought and infernos. BTW, not cool man, (JHS) I have friends and family out west who have been directly affected by those fires. Keep those theatrics in the banter thread, please.
 

Sleet City USA

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GSP is riding the WPC forecast for now, sticking to widespread 4-6” but mentions a localized 8-9” total is expected
 

smast16

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Only 3"-4" of rain for me in the latest guidance. I was going to put out grass seed, but i'm thinking i'll just put it all in a line at the top of the hill now, and let the deluge wash into the yard. lol
 

BirdManDoomW

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Not sure if anyone noticed this..but here I’m under a Flood Watch. That’s a big difference compared to a Flash Flood Watch areas further south are under according to the NWS.
 

BirdManDoomW

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1-3 inches in 24 hours so failed to meet the criteria of the word “flash” per NWS AFD.
 

wxdaniel

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As [mention]Myfrotho704_ [/mention] pointed out two days ago about the possibility of severe weather in South Carolina and points toward Jacksonville NC. It’s looking more and more a sure thing. The warm Atlantic air mass colliding with a cold front and tropical air mass could cause scattered funnel clouds. Buoyancy will not be particularly strong, though a couple of factors may contribute to pockets of moderate instability, including areas of insolation, which could locally increase MUCAPE values around or above 1000 J/kg in the pre-convective airmass and slightly higher dewpoints/boundary-layer moisture over South Carolina and vicinity due to maritime influences from the Gulf Stream




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weatherfide

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Yep like I thought. My guess is 2-4 but hope 3-5 is possible. Kirk Mellish is thinking 1-3 for most areas but 2-4 SE areas with 6in in spots.
HRRR latest 12z shows around 2" to 2.5" for most of Atlanta. I'm thinking around 2" to 3" for my area. I don't believe the Euro output. Watching trends to the SW for sure. This won't make any flash flooding as it's been several weeks without measurable rainfall.
 

SnowNiner

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6z euro courtesy Allan Huffman


Allan Huffman
@RaleighWx

·
15m

The 6z ECMWF shows the axis of heaviest rain from Elizabeth City to Raleigh to Charlotte into upstate SC. 4-8 inches possible. #Sally

Going to just sit here quietly and imagine that's a 48 hour snowfall map in inches. With that being the case, I'll estimate about 50% of what's shown to be reality. For MBY anyway.
 

BirdManDoomW

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Going to just sit here quietly and imagine that's a 48 hour snowfall map in inches. With that being the case, I'll estimate about 50% of what's shown to be reality. For MBY anyway.
If it was winter I would love where I was because usually the heaviest always ends up 1-3 counties further north than shown. But in this case I do believe 1-3 counties south of me so southern Iredell to Charlotte could see those 2-4” amounts.
 

tramadoc

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Going to just sit here quietly and imagine that's a 48 hour snowfall map in inches. With that being the case, I'll estimate about 50% of what's shown to be reality. For MBY anyway.
C’mon man... 4-8” possible for Elizabeth City? Dude, my yard is a swamp as it is.
 

BirdManDoomW

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IDK why..I’m just never a fan of these too many color maps. Esp when upslope can be triggered in the north faster than down East they usually out to lunch. 1172BBEF-CA06-42D6-8F3C-C678DE1A3215.jpeg
 
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