Snowflowxxl
Member
Been a steady light rain for the last two hours.
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Tropical Hurricane Sally Inland Effects
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
SPC upping there wording tomorrow, not ominous but definitely some bold wording in there 
With this setup there’s so much helicity towards the boundary, it wouldn’t shock me if stuff rotated on the stable side near the boundary, especially if there’s any low level cape
Downeastnc
Member
Yikes.......mby hr 45 on latest NAM......so late Friday morning into early afternoon.....that kind of timing is worrisome...
Dewpoint Dan
Member
It looks to me like much of the NW metro is in the 2-3" range ?
Showmeyourtds
Member
I've measured .30 of an inch thus far in East Lake. First band put down heavier rates than I thought it would.
BufordWX
Member
My rain gauge back home is finally starting to measure some rain. Interested to see how much it gets.
I don’t know about you all, but I’m curious to see how this storm completely skips over JHS’s house while soaking the rest of the state and region. It’s gonna be one for the books!
But in all seriousness, flooding is going to be a major problem tomorrow into Friday. Not looking forward to those commutes! And the tornado threat looks to be legit, possibly for CLT and RAH. All depends on the track.
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But in all seriousness, flooding is going to be a major problem tomorrow into Friday. Not looking forward to those commutes! And the tornado threat looks to be legit, possibly for CLT and RAH. All depends on the track.
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NoSnowJoe
Member
From our buddy Glenn Burns
Some significant changes with Sally.
1. Storm is on shore and weakening rapidly
2. Slight track change slightly to the northeast (no impact change)
3. MOVING MUCH FASTER than the NHC thought yesterday.
Bottom line is that the rapid weakening and accelerated forward speed means MUCH LESS RAIN and the RAIN ENDING FASTER. Most of it ends around dawn tomorrow. Will be getting new models for rainfall shortly...now looks like 1-3" from what I can tell now. Waiting for further info to be sure.
Some significant changes with Sally.
1. Storm is on shore and weakening rapidly
2. Slight track change slightly to the northeast (no impact change)
3. MOVING MUCH FASTER than the NHC thought yesterday.
Bottom line is that the rapid weakening and accelerated forward speed means MUCH LESS RAIN and the RAIN ENDING FASTER. Most of it ends around dawn tomorrow. Will be getting new models for rainfall shortly...now looks like 1-3" from what I can tell now. Waiting for further info to be sure.
BufordWX
Member
Also posted this showing 1-2 inches of rain for Atlanta.
I don’t know about anyone else, but this feels a little too low. I think 2-4 is a safe bet in the metro right now.
Bust
Fair enough for much of NW metro, but it appears that Carrollton is just over 3" with the SEridge nowhere in sight.
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NoSnowATL
Member
Snowflowxxl
Member
Glen Burns gonna bust bad. 2-4 inches is a lock for ATL.
I wouldn’t say it’s moving “Much faster” that seems like a bit of an exaggeration. And of course the storms is weakening, it’s on land. Glenn always posts stuff like this...
L
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BufordWX
Member
Going off the euro it could be a little higher then that, but I think at least 2-4 sound reasonable.
BufordWX
Member
Wind advisory up for Atlanta 15-25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
When Rah NWS puts out their long term AFD before the short term AFD, usually that means they have a lot to say and will be a good detailed read.
Yeah I haven’t really been too worried about the severe threat here while tracking this, but it definitely looks like a possibility now at least for those of us the southeast part of CLT metro
Glenn Burns is a tool
BufordWX
Member
Looks like Atlanta is already entering the big rain mass. Gonna be a wet evening...
bnathanb1982
Member
I have Dish now and since they canceled we no longer get to watch Glenn Burns(breaks my heart ?). What is/was he forecasting for Atl? I live in Walton county about 20 min west of Athens Ga and we got a good bit of rain yesterday morning as well kind of indirectly from Sally.
Henry2326
Member
I'm inside the perimeter.....been a steady rain since about 11.....not much wind at all....yet.
BufordWX
Member
Wind advisory doesn’t go into effect until 6:00 PM.
Henry2326
Member
Yeah, saw that.....it should be interesting...
Snowflowxxl
Member
1-3 inches
6-8” totals creeping back into GSP forecast. Latest disco said widespread 5-7 expected with isolated 9” totals
BufordWX
Member
The NAM certainly does not agree with Glenn Burns.
I’ve got to be honest, I’ve personally never watched him and looked into how accurate his forecasts are. I know him mostly from following these boards and seeing posts from folks in the Atlanta area, and of course I know just how horrendous his call was on the storm that lead to the 2014 Snowjam. Here, I can’t imagine what he means about the storm moving much faster than expected... at the last advisory it was only moving 5mph.
NoSnowJoe
Member
That cutoff is brutal for NW Georgia.. Dalton/Calhoun may see 4 inches, while Chattanooga gets blanked...
The main area of rain hasn’t arrived yet and I’ve already received .54”, so we will see the predictions that come to fruition.
Believe it or not, the 3km upped soundings for tomorrow, getting in the range of soundings supportive of perhaps a stronger tornado 
Nam 12km in CLT, took a step north to include the warm sector in CLT, cape is skinny asf but things could still spin in that 
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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6z euro courtesy Allan Huffman
Allan Huffman
@RaleighWx
·
15m
The 6z ECMWF shows the axis of heaviest rain from Elizabeth City to Raleigh to Charlotte into upstate SC. 4-8 inches possible. #Sally
A damn 10 inch lolly over Shetley! God I hope it’s right!?
BufordWX
Member
Gotta admit that I’m kinda jealous I won’t get to be in this. That radar looks very eventful. Going to be a very wet night for many of you.
Getting that tell-tale housefly shape:
