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Tropical Hurricane Sally Inland Effects

I'm expecting somewhere around ~6" in South Charlotte. I'm a little scarred from Florence when we received about 7-10" and was placed under a Flash Flood Emergency due to horrible flooding. Hopefully this forecast busts!
 
Two things I’m noticing on the radar right now when you look at the whole SE. First of all, Sally is beginning to take on the classic look of an inland Gulf tropical cyclone with the shield of heavy rain to the north of the center. Second in the last several hours you can really see the showers start to develop along the wedge boundary in the SC midlands...as that boundary lifts northwest towards the eastern SC Upstate and SE NC Piedmont, it should be a focal point of at least moderate rain through much of the night.
 
Chazwin said:
Two things I’m noticing on the radar right now when you look at the whole SE. First of all, Sally is beginning to take on the classic look of an inland Gulf tropical cyclone with the shield of heavy rain to the north of the center. Second in the last several hours you can really see the showers start to develop along the wedge boundary in the SC midlands...as that boundary lifts northwest towards the eastern SC Upstate and SE NC Piedmont, it should be a focal point of at least moderate rain through much of the night.
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Great read, but the last sentence was a bit of a letdown..
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
for this to be in more stable air, that’s some impressive rotation, tornado warnings to the south for the surface based stuff View attachment 48845View attachment 48846
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Yeah, I have a sneaky suspicion that this thing is going to over perform as far as rainfall and severe weather is concerned. We may not to use that phrase during the winter, but I’m using today. Lol.


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I think there could be a 6” total near the SC/NC border counties but likely going to be well west of Charlotte. I still think around 1” here and 2-4” south of here into Charlotte.
 
Speaking of snow... I’m sure all snow lovers in northern GA, Upstate SC, and NC Piedmont and foothills would love to see a radar looking like this sometime this winter with about a 1038mb sitting over Pennsylvania with a good Northeast snowpack.618A7987-1411-4F82-8E12-174D43256991.jpeg
 
I know it's silly but isn't it possible for snow to fall inside a hurricane at 30000 ft or so?
 
A training band over Dorchester/Charleston County Lines earlier produced extremely heavy rainfalls ...

From 145pm to 3pm, I picked up 2.57" of rain... it was still thumping and was thumping for another 90 minutes (I had to leave for work).. just 1 mile east down the road all the way to Goose Creek, light rains lol...
 
Chazwin said:
Speaking of snow... I’m sure all snow lovers in northern GA, Upstate SC, and NC Piedmont and foothills would love to see a radar looking like this sometime this winter with about a 1038mb sitting over Pennsylvania with a good Northeast snowpack.View attachment 48849
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Probably get that look 2-3 times this winter! Sleet in GSP S of 85, Sleet in Concord! ?
 
Sleet City USA said:
The fact that he may be about to bust by 4-6 inches
View attachment 48851
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edc06e3d651801b641ad4750ccde15ba.jpg


This is the map he used on the 6pm news


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Chazwin said:
Where is he getting this from??? This doesn’t line up with any of the models that I’ve seen even the drier ones for that area, and it’s not even close to the WPC guidance.
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Pretty sure its straight model output from some in-house model.
Ridiculous
 
Sleet City USA said:
Pretty sure its straight model output from some in-house model.
Ridiculous
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Those in house models are always way too dry. I remember Brad P showing his in house model for Florence and just said flat out that it was wrong on amounts. I think for my place it was only showing 2-3 inches when the WPC guidance was 10-12... I ended up with 16.5.
 
Heavy rain moving onshore now North Carolina all around Wilmington headed for the piedmont. Rates over 2”. I could see two max areas for NC...one about 50 miles west of Charlotte from Sally mixing with the front and another about 75 miles east of Charlotte where the Atlantic is providing a pre-event. In the middle near Charlotte could be less but still a respectable 2-4”. Both east and west of there I expect some 6” or more totals.
 
Here’s what I’m thinking..two purple box areas could see 4 to 6”. In the yellow middle closer to 2-4”. North of there 1-3”. Just a rough outline..won’t be exact. Just for the Carolinas and Virginia. 3447523F-3A19-4FDB-9E12-A0F8C53311B4.jpeg
 
Well, we can kiss any threat of a Sept/Oct drought, goodbye! That will get us into low cape/high shear severe weather season in November. I don't know about you all, but I am happy to be entering fall with no drought. And what should be average fall temps. Couldn't ask for anything more!
 
Sally is stiring up the Gulf Stream tonight off North Carolina. I think they need to include a flash flood watch around Wilmington. 40E09FB8-BE9C-4722-B671-12689D00933B.jpeg
 
ryan1234 said:
Well, we can kiss any threat of a Sept/Oct drought, goodbye! That will get us into low cape/high shear severe weather season in November. I don't know about you all, but I am happy to be entering fall with no drought. And what should be average fall temps. Couldn't ask for anything more!
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Absolutely!!! The next 36-48 hours will be nasty, but when we are enjoying sunshine, 70 degrees and low humidity this weekend, it will feel great. I honestly don’t remember the last time we had any true fall weather this early with how freakin hot September and early Octobers have been lately
 
BirdManDoomW said:
Here’s what I’m thinking..two purple box areas could see 4 to 6”. In the yellow middle closer to 2-4”. North of there 1-3”. Just a rough outline..won’t be exact. Just for the Carolinas and Virginia. View attachment 48853
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This is the most ridiculous thing I've ever seen, even if there is a slither of accuracy in there, just ridiculous. Tick tock birdman tick tock
 
BufordWX said:
Dang, Buford must be getting the shaft. Only got .25 back home so far.
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I think we are gonna see 3-
BufordWX said:
Dang, Buford must be getting the shaft. Only got .25 back home so far.
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metwannabe said:
NW trend.... just practicing
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Looks like Glenn Burns totals is gonna be a bust on the amount of rain I still think it will be more than what he is predicting.. 3-5 is a good bet above Atlanta and 4 to 6 south..Most of the heavy rain is well north of sally. And looking at the radar there is a lot of heavy rain coming straight north and it will pouring
all night in north Georgia
 
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