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Tropical Hurricane Nate

Storm5 said:
A stronger system will verify to the east . So if it continues to strengthen I would expect a few more east shifts with the track

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If this strengthens up to a cat 2 or 3 and moves at the speed that the NHC has it, it will cause much more impact in AL, GA, and the Carolinas than Irma did. It simply would not have much time to really weaken. Maybe not as much rain, but possibly a LOT more wind.
 
Brent said:
Rapid intensification still cannot be ruled out since
the indices are showing a 50/50 chance of a 25-kt increase over
the next 24 hours. If Nate becomes a hurricane soon, then
additional increases in the official intensity forecast may be
necessary in subsequent advisories.
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So a 50% Chance of getting to 100 now.:eek:
 
Woah...

avn0-lalo.gif
 
Arcc said:
Sheash beast mode on IR right now. Been a long time with a large CDO with that type of cold tops.
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Seeing how the clouds have stayed with the center and are blowing up, plus the recon info, it's rapidly intensifying. I'm going to call that. I expect this to blow past the NHC's forecast. May even run for major.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Seeing how the clouds have stayed with the center and are blowing up, plus the recon info, it's rapidly intensifying. I'm going to call that. I expect this to blow past the NHC's forecast. May even run for major.
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Yep and if it does and keeps it's fast forward speed inland it'll be trouble for a lot of us.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Seeing how the clouds have stayed with the center and are blowing up, plus the recon info, it's rapidly intensifying. I'm going to call that. I expect this to blow past the NHC's forecast. May even run for major.
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Personally if this thing closes off a strong eyewall and core, a major is just about a given with a ~50% shot a Cat 4 IMO. It may and probably will not be that a landfall but we all know how fickle small hurricanes are.

The biggest problem on both sides is speed. It may be too fast to reach it's max potential or it may be too fast for a ERC to stop it.
 
JHS said:
Yep and if it does and keeps it's fast forward speed inland it'll be trouble for a lot of us.
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Not to mention a surprise major hurricane for the Gulf coast. It could go up to West Virginia as a TS if it is a major at landfall. That would devastate a lot of areas. Opal all over again but faster?
 
Good God!.... All I wanted was some rain here. Not, this beast (possibly) for Board Friends in his path.
 
Wow...lets hope this thing doesn't explode. We honestly don't want that. I remember opal and that was a disaster...I do not want to live through another one anywhere close to that up here in N. GA.
 
Hurricane Nate Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
1030 PM CDT Fri Oct 06 2017

...NATE BECOMES A HURRICANE...

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft just penetrated the
center of Nate and reported hurricane-force winds. The maximum
winds are estimated to be 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts.
 
Yes with Opal she was also a "compact" system that rapidly intensified as she crossed the loop current, and also "rabbited" as she neared the coast all the way up into GA.. I was working patrol that night just SW of ATL, and patrol unit caught a gust broadside and stated "skipping" across parking lot. When I turned into wind I "clocked" rain with traffic radar at 82 mph
FYI I was just outside and does have a bit of tropical feel to air out... Much more so than with Irma (no wedge)
 
RollTide18 said:
Okay so with Opal, the reason there was so much damage inland was because of it's fast motion right?
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Yes, and it was Cat 3 (115 mph) at landfall to boot. Opal was moving about 25 mph through AL, Nate will be going about 22 mph, so very close forward speed wise.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Just crazy. We saw a weak TS mess this morning and boom, hurricane now
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maria did the same went from nothing to a 5 in record time..

i honestly hope this thing doesnt go stupid and RI into something major.. i am working 9-1-1 dispatch this weekend on night shifts in Pelham AL
 
Dr. McNabb TWC suspecting Cat 2+ :eek:
 
SoutheastRidge said:
sounds like it keeps shifting further west, im assuming due to it being stronger than forecast earlier. If it keeps shifting west may not get much impact in GA.
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If anything I bet it goes east . As shane pointed out a faster system has a greater chance of interacting with the trough sooner thus turning NE sooner

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SoutheastRidge said:
sounds like it keeps shifting further west, im assuming due to it being stronger than forecast earlier. If it keeps shifting west may not get much impact in GA.
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I thought the stronger it is the more east it'll be?


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