In the end this storm will be forgotten when you think of all the terrible storms there have been this year.
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Tropical Hurricane Nate
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Assuming it does what we expect it to do. There has been too many uncertainties to this year already, and until its near the US, we can't call anything. It does look bad right now, but we don't know what it could or could not become.
Storm5
Member
Lol the 12z HMON has a bomb . Stupid model while the HWRF is more in line with the gfs
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
I would be careful about calling the HMON stupid on anything but pressure. The pressure on that model sucks, but if it keeps holding onto those stronger winds, it may very well strengthen close to them.
Xtreme Weather
Member
Euro thru 48 is little faster with mainly N/NW motion and pressure is up little vs previous 2 runs
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- Jan 5, 2017
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Correct me if I am wrong but wasn't this model the one that first picked up on the strength of Irma and Maria? So much has happened the past month or two I don't remember if it was or if I am remembering incorrectly
Xtreme Weather
Member
72 hour land fall New Orleans around 990mb's
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Weak hurricane?
Storm5
Member
Bathroom break!!
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Who has the 12Z UK?
Brent
Member
Euro south of New Orleans 988 mb
Storm5
Member
So we have good agreement with a Louisiana landfall at this point. Maybe the track will finally start to settle down
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Ukie is a mobile landfall with a sharp NE bend after landfall. GFS and Euro are more NNE after landfall.
Storm5
Member
Right which means we have good agreement . I bet the NHC shifts west again . Their inland track is on the east side of guidance.
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
If I saw the UK track right, it was either right on NHC or just east.
UK is making landfall on the AL coast, it's right/east of NHC forecast track.
Storm5
Member
It an eastern outlier which like you said shoots Ne of the NHC track. With the Euro shifting west with its inland track through eastern Mississippi and the gfs already riding through central Mississippi I bet they adjust west s a little
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Storm5
Member
Get ready for some fun 00z runs
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