Tropical Hurricane Nate

[Weatherlover92]

I'm still leaning towards a MS/AL coast landfall from Nate vs Louisiana.

 

[Storm5]

Looks like NATE is making his way on land right now

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[accu35]

^New advisory has 5 mb lower SLP (999 vs 1004) and it has moved much more n than w (.from 13.3N, 83,3W to 13.9N, 83.4W). Is movement more NNW now?

If NNW movement continues and stays over water longer could it get bit stronger than forecast? plus maybe adjust east a little?

 

[GaWx]

to me, it looks pretty pathetic right now.

Considering that he is interacting with land and that he is still only a minimal TS, I honestly don't think he looks "patheitic". Compared to how he was supposed to look now, I don't think he's lagging much, if any, again considering the land.

*Corrected*

 

[GaWx]

If NNW movement continues and stays over water longer could it get bit stronger than forecast? plus maybe adjust east a little?

Yes to both

 

[BillT]

water vapor loop looks very good to me, but i do NOT want to see some big storm hit anywhere or harm anybody.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

12Z NAM Slows down and shift east a little!!

 

[WXinCanton]

No discussion about the 6z GFS? Lol.

 

[accu35]

Nam coming in little east this run

 

[accu35]

Nam east and bit stronger

 

[accu35]

Lol really, 939mb

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Nam shifts east maybe because the energy north of Nate is weaker per 12z run!!

 

[Metwannabe]

Nam shifts east maybe because the energy north of Nate is weaker per 12z run!!

Or because it's the NAM...

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[Weatherlover92]

Nam shifts east maybe because the energy north of Nate is weaker per 12z run!!

NAM keeps Nate mostly over open waters once it skirts by Nicaragua/Honduras.

 

[Storm5]

Lol really, 939mb

Not happening lol

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[South AL Wx]

New NHC track:

NHC has Nate as an 80 mph hurricane at landfall (slightly stronger than the previous advisory, and also a little farther west).

 

[GaWx]

Looks like NATE is making his way on land right now

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Indeed. 11 AM NHC: 14.3N, 83.7W vs 13.9N, 83.4W at 8 AM. So a true NW motion since 8 AM and clearly inland. SLP same at 999.

 

[Weatherlover92]

Out to hr 12 and the 12z GFS is already further NE (and stronger) with Nate than it was at 6z.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Thru 30 Nate little stronger so far


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[Xtreme Weather]

At 36 wave over central gulf is now open vs closed off Nate deepening and faster so far


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