South AL Wx
Member
12z CMC is weaker than and west of the GFS, very similar to the 00z CMC.
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Tropical Hurricane Nate
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Overall, models has Nate getting little stronger
Stormlover
Member
We've got a front that may bring more heavy rain as we head into Monday night or Tuesday after Nate is long gone.
W
WeatherLC
Guest
Looks like the euro is showing possibly 80mph wind gusts in the mountains of north Georgia and east tn? Am I reading that wrong?
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah some of the wind gusts in the highest peaks of the Apps actually exceed 90 mph on the 0z run...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yikes. Looking at the local NWS, I am seeing the same expectations that they had with Irma, but shorter. 30 mph winds with 50 gusts max.
Stormlover
Member
do you have that for north Alabama at it's peak?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
South AL Wx
Member
From BMX:
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Could definitely be considerably higher than that given the expectation for some strengthening w/ Nate and expansion of the winfield as he undergoes extratropical transition. However, the storm's RMW is already pretty large as is, and this may serve as a further deterrent to RI.
South AL Wx
Member
Looks like the 12z UKMET has a track similar to the GFS:
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
As usual, JB is going all in with a 55 KT TS tonight and a sub 970 hPa cat 2 in Louisiana. lol
accu35
Member
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- Jan 5, 2017
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Has he been watching the trend east?
Storm5
Member
That midday laugh is much appreciated!!!
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
These cheap paint maps are just laughable and baseless. If you are going to say something to the public, support your idea with evidence, not a cheap map that anyone can make better and some hype.
Storm5
Member
Storm5
Member
From kbmx as well
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South AL Wx
Member
Lol, I think yours is the most recent (even though they didn't update the time).Lol which one is right ?
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Storm5
Member
Kbmx just said their maps are based off the NHC track so the second one is correct.
Geez they are having issues with this system . I've never seen them this slow
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Geez they are having issues with this system . I've never seen them this slow
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W
WeatherLC
Guest
Whatcha bet on another inland TS Warning??
ForsythSnow
Moderator
If the track maintains its location, and the strength is at hurricane or above at landfall, we will have one I believe.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
These maps made in a seemingly uninformed matter even if you are a smart person are the type of thing that scares the public. I mean really.
Storm5
Member
Here is the 12z ukmet
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From kbmx as well
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A little breezy here.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Nate getting a good convection burst right now. I bet we see it all around the center in a few hours. If that happens, RI is a bigger possibility I feel.
Banding definitely improving, looking like a tropical storm now.
Storm5
Member
12z Euro is weak sauce at the moment
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Storm5
Member
Storm5
Member
12z Euro 996
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Storm5
Member
The 12z Euro is a mess . Clearly this is gonna be a one sided storm and ugly to look at
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Storm5
Member
Euro headed up through eastern Louisiana
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Storm5
Member
.
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Storm5
Member
Gonna be interesting to see what the NHC does with the 5pm update as most of the 12z guidance came in well west of their track
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Storm5
Member
Man the Euro is way west
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Bye bye rain..Man the Euro is way west
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Storm5
Member
Backed way off on the Wind gusts
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Storm5
Member