Makes sense imo
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Tropical Hurricane Nate
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Storm5
Member
11pm update is a little weaker
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Storm5
Member
I bet the 00z gfs comes in east of previous runs
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Storm5
Member
00z GFS is a weak mess ..... Very weak
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Storm5
Member
00z gfs is a great scenario. Very very weak system that brings rain to many
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Weak as dish water. Someone is gonna be way off. The Euro or GFS. Tick tock tick tick...
Storm5
Member
Difference is land interaction. Gfs has far more land interaction while the Euro stays over water
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Yep you're spot on. To your point a minute ago, it is east of previous runs, for sure.
Storm5
Member
Not sure what the hell the 00z CMC just did. Somehow it managed to take a system through central Mississippi but it's weak as hell also like the gfs
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Brent
Member
UKMET almost hits New Orleans!!! and goes into MS as a low end hurricane probably, big west shift
0000UTC 08.10.2017 72 29.5N 89.8W 982 57
1200UTC 08.10.2017 84 31.9N 88.3W 992 23
0000UTC 08.10.2017 72 29.5N 89.8W 982 57
1200UTC 08.10.2017 84 31.9N 88.3W 992 23
Storm5
Member
Brent
Member
bud006
Member
So as fate would have it, I flew to Texas for a business trip to start the week. As I flew over Houston on Monday, I noticed some of the canals still are pretty full of water from Harvey.
I got an alert on my phone Wednesday afternoon as I was heading to the airport to head home, from a TV station from Atlanta, highlighting the potential for tropical impacts here early next week.
Haven't dove into the model data yet -- I've been home for just a couple of hours and been preoccupied with playoff baseball and laundry -- but history says for those of us in North Georgia, a robust tropical system that landfalls in the Florida panhandle/Alabama coast and moves northward spells bad weather up here.
Irma really was an outlier, a system that moves from SE Ga/NE Fla to the northwest. More often, my area gets hammered by systems that come ashore from Biloxi-Pensacola and race northward through Mississippi/Alabama, putting us north and east of the center of circulation.
Even without diving into the potential metrics of this system, those in North Georgia have to watch this. A Cat 1 that landfalls at, say, Mobile Bay and works NNE, would put a good bit of N Georgia into the area where there could be rain and wind impacts.
I really hope this does not develop into a powerful system. Let's watch it and pay attention, and plan accordingly.
--30--
I got an alert on my phone Wednesday afternoon as I was heading to the airport to head home, from a TV station from Atlanta, highlighting the potential for tropical impacts here early next week.
Haven't dove into the model data yet -- I've been home for just a couple of hours and been preoccupied with playoff baseball and laundry -- but history says for those of us in North Georgia, a robust tropical system that landfalls in the Florida panhandle/Alabama coast and moves northward spells bad weather up here.
Irma really was an outlier, a system that moves from SE Ga/NE Fla to the northwest. More often, my area gets hammered by systems that come ashore from Biloxi-Pensacola and race northward through Mississippi/Alabama, putting us north and east of the center of circulation.
Even without diving into the potential metrics of this system, those in North Georgia have to watch this. A Cat 1 that landfalls at, say, Mobile Bay and works NNE, would put a good bit of N Georgia into the area where there could be rain and wind impacts.
I really hope this does not develop into a powerful system. Let's watch it and pay attention, and plan accordingly.
--30--
Brent
Member
and the Euro is way way way way west.... the King has been dethroned
Brent
Member
Euro is about 30 mb weaker too, probably not even a hurricane or just barely coming ashore south of New Orleans
Brent
Member
Only a 300 mile shift on the Euro in one run
accu35
Member
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Thats right at cat 1Euro is about 30 mb weaker too, probably not even a hurricane or just barely coming ashore south of New Orleans