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Tropical Hurricane Nate

Well, Glenn needs to get new models. He said earlier none of his models are forecasting it to become a hurricane. *shrugs* lol okay let me stay on topic here.
 
Arcc said:
Then you werent awake during the night convective maxes of '05. Haha.
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will never forget the night Wilma bombed or waking up to Katrina being a Cat 5

or Dennis and "what a difference 2 hours makes!!"

or the neverending season when we went greek and then Epsilon/Zeta overstayed their forecast

I mean yeah its been the best since but nothing will top 2005 lol

Back in 2005 the satellite had an outage for 2-3 hours each night lmao

You have to remember before August 20th people wondered if this season would ever start lol
 
Brent said:
will never forget the night Wilma bombed or waking up to Katrina being a Cat 5

or Dennis and "what a difference 2 hours makes!!"

or the neverending season when we went greek and then Epsilon/Zeta overstayed their forecast

I mean yeah its been the best since but nothing will top 2005 lol

Back in 2005 the satellite had an outage for 2-3 hours each night lmao

You have to remember before August 20th people wondered if this season would ever start lol
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When i say its been one of the craziest seasons i remember im talking in terms of impact to land. Texas, Florida, Puerto Rico. The US and its territories havent been hit this hard in a long time.

I believe both TX and Puerto Rico had one of their strongest hurricanes in recent memory.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Anyone think the latest track is weird? Has a weird curve to it, almost like it isn't smooth.
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A little weird, kind of jumps in Alabama
032801_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png
 
ForsythSnow said:
Anyone think the latest track is weird? Has a weird curve to it, almost like it isn't smooth.
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I would say that's just the splines of their map software which don't know how to handle some turns properly unless there are more forecast location points. It's really exaggerated in AL because the next point is in PA.
 
Looking a IR loops I wouldn't be surprised if the center doesn't get pulled or relocate under the deep convection to the northeast.
 
tstorm said:
Looking a IR loops I wouldn't be surprised if the center doesn't get pulled or relocate under the deep convection to the northeast.
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I agree still very asymmetrical. I think that favors a NE tug and a further east track . Guess we will see

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Storm5 said:
I agree still very asymmetrical. I think that favors a NE tug and a further east track . Guess we will see

Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
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I agree. If it does or has relocated it will likely continue to intensify rapidly as it enters the loop current.
 
Looks like 985mb Extrap, so pressure isn't bombing.

EDIT: no, 988mb extrap. I should just go to bed.
 
Xtreme Weather said:
Appears to have leveled off on last sat pass as well
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I'm starting to think we may have been fooled a little. I've seen this before where the boost in wind speed is caused by the extreme convection and not necessarily from organization. If the convective blob falls apart in the next few hours we will have our answer.
 
Arcc said:
I'm starting to think we may have been fooled a little. I've seen this before where the boost in wind speed is caused by the extreme convection and not necessarily from organization. If the convective blob falls apart in the next few hours we will have our answer.
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Yup looked at funk top shows same small hole about dead center of the left and right bright greens
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-mloop-ft.html

Nope cloud tops are warming like arcc said could have been convective flare up we see usually at night...but he has a core so will see what ol Nate looks like in the a.m. I need sleep LoL
 
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