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Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

Chazwin said:
The things concerning about an EWRC later today or tonight is that once it’s complete, the storm will still have about 24-36 hours of favorable conditions to restrengthen before it start to weaken on approach and begin a conversion to extra tropical. Also the EWRC will spread the wind field out producing more impacts over a wider area
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Recovering from ERCs tend to take longer than forecast, so hopefully that will be the case this time as well.
 
LickWx said:
Won’t change the surge it’s pushing though, that’s already a done deal… scary. I hope it avoids Tampa to the emptier north.
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South of Tampa would be better for them. North would still be bad. Helene killed quite a few people there and it missed by 100 miles
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
i don’t think 155 is a cat
The National Weather Service rates hurricanes by their intensity, using a scale of one to five.
The scale, which is outlined below, categorizes storms according to their sustained winds; the
storm surges produced; and expected damage:
Category One:
• Winds of 74 to 95 mph, storm surge of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide.
• Damage to shrubbery, trees, poorly constructed signs, and unanchored mobile homes.
Low lying coastal roads inundated.
Category Two:
• Winds of 96 to 110 mph, storm surge of 9 to 12 feet above normal tide.
• Some damage to roofing materials of buildings; some wind and door damage. Major
damage to exposed mobile homes.
• Coastal roads and low lying escape routes made impassable by rising water 2 to 4 hours
before arrival of hurricane.
Category Three:
• Winds of 111 to 130 mph, storm surge 9 to 12 feet above normal tide.
• Large trees blown down.
• Some damage to roofing materials of buildings; some window and door damage. Some
structural damage to small buildings.
• Mobile homes destroyed.
• Serious flooding at the coast; many small structures destroyed; large structures
damaged by waves and debris.
Category Four:
• Winds of 131 to 155 mph, storm surge 13 to 18 feet above normal tide.
• Shrubs and trees blown down, all signs down.
• Extensive damage to roofing materials, windows, and doors.
• Complete failure of roofs of many small residences.
• Complete destruction of mobile homes.
• Flat terrain 10 feet or less above sea level flooded inland as far as six miles.
• Major damage to lower floors of structures near shore.
Category Five:
• Winds greater than 155 mph, storm surge greater than 18 feet above normal tide.
• Shrubs and trees blown down; considerable damage to roofs of buildings.
• Very severe and extensive damage to windows and doors.
• Complete failure of roofs on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete
building failures.
• Complete destruction of mobile homes.
• Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5 to 10 miles of sho
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000
URNT15 KNHC 071540
AF309 0814A MILTON HDOB 44 20241007
153200 2133N 09156W 6964 03043 9888 +125 +040 324071 071 063 002 00
153230 2134N 09157W 6963 03051 9899 +122 +039 327068 070 063 002 00
153300 2134N 09158W 6962 03057 9907 +119 +036 331066 068 061 005 00
153330 2135N 09200W 6961 03067 9911 +123 +037 333064 065 061 003 00
153400 2134N 09201W 6961 03073 9923 +120 +037 331065 066 /// /// 03
153430 2132N 09201W 6965 03073 9930 +117 +040 324064 066 /// /// 03
153500 2130N 09159W 6961 03075 9924 +121 +040 319061 062 057 001 03
153530 2131N 09157W 6962 03062 9908 +125 +038 316062 064 057 000 03
153600 2131N 09155W 6970 03043 9898 +124 +038 315066 068 060 003 00
153630 2132N 09153W 6961 03044 9889 +121 +038 316072 073 064 003 00
153700 2133N 09151W 6963 03027 9860 +134 +035 315074 076 067 003 00
153730 2134N 09150W 6951 03021 9841 +133 +038 313078 080 071 004 00
153800 2135N 09148W 6979 02966 9823 +126 +041 316083 084 077 005 00
153830 2136N 09146W 6956 02959 9803 +108 +042 312097 104 085 009 00
153900 2137N 09145W 6979 02871 9755 +092 +043 313115 123 105 021 00
153930 2138N 09143W 6949 02820 9663 +089 +040 311137 146 133 063 00
154000 2139N 09141W 6945 02667 9479 +101 +052 314142 158 176 042 00
154030 2140N 09139W 7095 02356 9292 +177 +064 296050 116 174 027 00
154100 2141N 09138W 6978 02468 9242 +188 +046 291015 037 101 008 03
154130 2142N 09137W 6946 02519 9257 +172 +042 050006 007 023 000 00
Brent said:
Probably a 5 now.... Pressure still plunging
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Yep. Per the reduction factor, 165 mph.
 
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