Tropical Major Hurricane Milton

[severestorm]

Seeing alot of power trucks move south on the interstate. Antedotal.

 

[Henry2326]

Look at that pinhole. Good luck getting dry air inside that any time soon. Luckily there’s still time into midweek for Milton to change structure but for now this is what nightmares are made of

Hopefully it motivates some evacuations. The tide surge is gonna be brutal.

 

[Rain Cold]

Probably a Cat 5 now. Or right on the doorstep. Good thing it will be weakening at a good clip as it makes landfall.

 

[Brent]

Data from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near
155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Brent]

It's already stronger than the NHC had in 24 hours 3 hours ago

Officially forecasting 165 mph

 

[jrips27]

 

[Henry2326]

Probably a Cat 5 now. Or right on the doorstep. Good thing it will be weakening at a good clip as it makes landfall.

The problem I see is this was forecasted Tuesday night/Wednesday morning in the HMON, HAFS A and B. So it's 36-48 hours ahead of forecast. What the heck is it gonna do now???

 

[jrips27]

Quite literally overtop of Tampa now

 

[Henry2326]

10 am NHC


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/1500Z 21.7N 91.7W 135 KT 155 MPH
12H 08/0000Z 21.5N 90.4W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 08/1200Z 22.2N 88.3W 140 KT 160 MPH
36H 09/0000Z 23.6N 86.4W 135 KT 155 MPH
48H 09/1200Z 25.5N 84.7W 125 KT 145 MPH
60H 10/0000Z 27.7N 82.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
72H 10/1200Z 29.2N 80.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 11/1200Z 30.8N 71.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 12/1200Z 31.0N 66.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

 

[RoddyPiper]

Probably a Cat 5 now. Or right on the doorstep. Good thing it will be weakening at a good clip as it makes landfall.

Based on.....?

 

[MichaelAndrews]

The problem I see is this was forecasted Tuesday night/Wednesday morning in the HMON, HAFS A and B. So it's 36-48 hours ahead of forecast. What the heck is it gonna do now???

Get bigger, weaken a little but try to ramp back up after EWRC is done

 

[severestorm]

Maybe the fictional convergence from Mexico will speed up the ERC

 

[Henry2326]

Quite literally overtop of Tampa now
View attachment 152775

I think they moved it a smig north. My opinion, they will keep doing that. It will come in just north of Tampa, but the damage to Tampa will be devastating without a headon.

 

[Rain Cold]

Based on.....?

Which?

 

[LickWx]

Probably a Cat 5 now. Or right on the doorstep. Good thing it will be weakening at a good clip as it makes landfall.

Won’t change the surge it’s pushing though, that’s already a done deal… scary. I hope it avoids Tampa to the emptier north.

 

[Chazwin]

The things concerning about an EWRC later today or tonight is that once it’s complete, the storm will still have about 24-36 hours of favorable conditions to restrengthen before it start to weaken on approach and begin a conversion to extra tropical. Also the EWRC will spread the wind field out producing more impacts over a wider area

 

[Shaggy]

Co

Based on.....?

Consensus of midel data I'd guess

 

[Psalm 148:8]

Holy moly!!! Cat 5 now!!!

 

[Rain Cold]

Won’t change the surge it’s pushing though, that’s already a done deal… scary. I hope it avoids Tampa to the emptier north.

Yeah, surge will be a big problem, particularly if it stays in the high end 3-5 range, traversing the whole Gulf.