Cary_Snow95
Member
Either it's on to something or it's the NAM 2.0.
And HAFS-B is just stupid ridiculous
More Nam for sure, it’s been shown to make every hurricane a Cat 100. Something they need to fix.Either it's on to something or it's the NAM 2.0.
The dgex of the hurricane modelsMore Nam for sure, it’s been shown to make every hurricane a Cat 100. Something they need to fix.
That's getting close to the islands with the latest Euro run. If Lee gets any closer that could portend bad things to come for the Leeward and Windward islands along with the Dominican Republic, Hatti, Puerto Rico and Cuba and the Eastern US down the road.
I hate to say it but that is not far at all from a look that would not only cause an EC landfall but pull it inland for a bit. A stronger storm would beef up the ridge to the north.That’s close to boom time. View attachment 136882
I just heard a meteorologist say that the Hurricane Hunters were scheduled to fly a recon flight tomorrow. When they are able to get some real time data, it will be fed into the models and we will get a better picture of where Lee will go. This meteorologist stated that if the storm track didn't change from the current track after the data was fed in that he felt pretty certain that Lee would be headed out to sea.Need a NOAA Recon up NW Canada, few dropsondes and forecast the trough right. More so than Lee itself.
I would think it’s just as important if not more so to get good recon info up stream. Ultimately it’s the timing of the trough and positioning of the ridge that’s going to determine where it goes. It’s fairly strong agreement that it’s going to be a monster of a storm for a time.I just heard a meteorologist say that the Hurricane Hunters were scheduled to fly a recon flight tomorrow. When they are able to get some real time data, it will be fed into the models and we will get a better picture of where Lee will go. This meteorologist stated that if the storm track didn't change from the current track after the data was fed in that he felt pretty certain that Lee would be headed out to sea.
Just looking at that i would say a landfall on Long Island. Will they be close enough to interact?
FIFY..Yeah a few westward stragglers and again NC and SC, maybe even Canada should really be paying attention